今天,先從TA的角度談談. 以後有空兒,再胡侃 FA.
look for extreme。 what is EXTREME? overbought(greedy)/oversold(panic) scenario. 展開地說,
第一
就形式來說, 事不過三。 action is a must when mkt is up/down
AT LEAST more than 3 days IN A ROW. yes, 這裏,要強調的是, CONSECUTIVELY!
從內容上講, 短期(一周內) 跌/漲幅 must be over 5%.
鐵律:if mkt is up/down for more than 200 points in a single trading day, action must be taken at that moment.
第二
of course, all time high/low should be reference to build long term SHORT/LONG positions.
第三
歇著, 如果非第一或第二.
聽起來, 俺像投機者. 可是, 投資講究機會不是? 長期投資不等於捂著holding不放. here comes 第四.
第四
ladder is the key, especially for LT invester. 階梯進,階梯出. DCA. take profit to reward yourself. Keep in mind "average up" is better than "average down".
總之,
客觀炒股,辨證投資。 分散投資, 定期重組, 切忌貪婪。 別讓你的錢睡著了! 與錢共舞,坐擁利潤。 "Dancing with money, Sleep with profit!!"
有興趣的話,看看這個,一起切磋?
http://blog.wenxuecity.com/blogview.php?date=201108&postID=24153