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FRO 63.83 short

(2008-07-06 22:09:18) 下一個
FRO 63.83 short 一個上升5浪可能走完了.
36.16->48.46 ->67.89->59.65 38.2%= 40.86 (41.15) 200%=60.76(59.65) 262%=68.4(67.89) 300%=73(71.76)
59.65->71.76 38.2%= 64.28(63.83) 138.2%= 76.39
1/5/2007 1浪開始 1=7/12/2007(52.95) 2=1/22/2008 (36.16) 3-1 = 2/20/2008(48.46) 3-2 = 3/11(41.15) 3-3=5/22(67.52) 3-4=6/ (59,65, 61.62) 3-5= 6/23(71.76)
目前可能完成了3-5, 如果幅度3-1 = 3-5, 目標=3-4浪底59.65+ (48.46-36.16) =71.95, 這個已經幾乎達到(71.76), 按1.618倍計算= 79.55. 因此, 牛的風險大於熊的風險.


類似的分析也適用於OIH, 感覺OIH走完了一個終結三角形, 向下的殺傷力是巨大的. 10/15/2007 = 1浪or 3浪, 2/6/2008=2, 2/29=3-1 , 3/20=3-2 調整三角形, 4/21=3-3, 5/1=3-4, 7/1 = 3-5,

7/11(65.26)REVIEW 對.最低到了60.66
至7/6有134個股票判斷88正確46錯誤 ... FXC,WYNN,SOHU,NOC,PTEC,DECK-,CAF,FRO
7/13 (65.26) SHORT 4A5浪可能開始
7/21 (65.30)5浪三開始了,可買進
2年的牛市 Image and video hosting by TinyPic 上升三浪結束 第四浪調整 Image and video hosting by TinyPic 7-14 A5浪開始 Image and video hosting by TinyPic 7-15
Image and video hosting by TinyPic 2008重新劃分
Image and video hosting by TinyPic 7-15 上升的三浪中 Image and video hosting by TinyPic 7-17
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