亂彈美經新聞－New unemployment claims

今天，Yahoo的標題新聞是"New unemployment claims surge unexpectedly". 是真的unexpectedly麽？嗬嗬

看看裏麵列舉的數據吧:

1. The weekly data  is the highest since Nov 1982: seasonally adjusted - 573,000 ;Revised last week: 515,000 Walstreet predicts: 525,000; 4-week average is the highest since Dec 1982: 540,500.
2. Continuing claims: 4.4 million with 338,000 increasing; economist expected: 4.1 million
   
3. Trade deficit: $57.2 billion, September: $56.6 billion, Expected: $53.5billion; Oil imports: up by 3% to 37.7billio;Deficit with China: $28billion Annual deficit: $709.1billion Exports dropped by2.2% to $151.7billion; Imports feel by 1.3 percent to $208.9 Billion; $921million delince in autos and auto parts.
   
4. Budget deficit: $401.6billion
5. November New Job cuts: 533,000 Job loss rate: 6.7%; Consider job changes instead of loss: 400,000 Total job loss in 2008: 1.9 million Expected: 3.0 million loss by 2009 Spring

幾點評論:

1. 從Unemployment claims趨勢， Job loss 在逐步惡化，大的layoff已經開始，並會在未來幾個月加速-- 3.0 million by Spring 2009
2. "The volume of oil imports surged by a record amount", who is buying? US government or some speculators
3. Trade deficit出口下降利害說明美國經濟正在加速惡化，進口下降，特別是汽車和汽車部件也說明美國汽車業已經山窮水盡，無可救藥