三十年後的物價，房價，收入。

我們經常討論三十年後的財富情況。所以有必要想想三十年後的錢到底值多少錢。

我從來不相信政府的通貨膨脹數據(CPI) 可以用來衡量未來的財富，更可靠的是labor inflation. labor inflaiton 通常會比CPI 高出幾個百分點。查查1970的工資，房價，物價， 曆史數據表明，三十年以後，

Typical engineer salary will be 1 million/year
Typical bay area house will be 10 million
Harvard 4 years tutition will be 2 million/4 year.
One bedroom apartment in NYC will be 10 million

所以各位，三十年以後，我們退休大約需要10million左右。

所有跟貼:
• labor inflation is 5％ above typical inflation-where you got it? -PoorKids?-   (0 bytes) (13 reads) 2/12/07  • here it is -bayfamily-   (230 bytes) (90 reads) 2/13/07  • US has white collar jobs only?! Are burger flippers white collar -PoorKids?-   (2 bytes) (6 reads) 2/13/07  • we only care white collar, because we are, we will compare with -BayFamily-   (0 bytes) (7 reads) 2/13/07  • it does not matter. -Pediatrician- ♂   (275 bytes) (160 reads) 2/12/07  • 沒什麽， -siso- ♀   (28 bytes) (70 reads) 2/12/07  • 也就是說,現在五,六十萬的房子,那時候要五,六百萬???? -shn888- ♂   (0 bytes) (24 reads) 2/13/07  • very right, check the house price history and you will know -BayFamily-   (0 bytes) (19 reads) 2/13/07  • Not4kids has some data that shows real estate price history -it888-   (38 bytes) (53 reads) 2/13/07  • here is the data -bayfamily-   (3532 bytes) (100 reads) 2/13/07  • 那當然，50年代一萬多的房子現在都50萬了 -britannica-   (0 bytes) (7 reads) 2/13/07  • 當然前提是沒有重大波折，這個可是誰也不能保證的 -britannica-   (0 bytes) (6 reads) 2/13/07  • 真的inflation應該在兩者之間。 -A-mao- ♂   (185 bytes) (118 reads) 2/13/07  • 30 years later, Ipod will be gone, but I++++Pod will cost you 2K -BayFamily-   (63 bytes) (28 reads) 2/13/07  • That's why you want to invest in equity and precious metals -it888-   (406 bytes) (155 reads) 2/13/07  • they can only keep track of labor inflation -BayFamily-   (83 bytes) (42 reads) 2/13/07  • Sooner or later, we will enter -it888-   (36 bytes) (82 reads) 2/13/07  • hehe, not that bad :) -bayfamily-   (72 bytes) (32 reads) 2/13/07  • 看來看去隻有一條：多生孩子:)) -britannica-   (68 bytes) (176 reads) 2/13/07