中國決勝台海三部曲(一)----引蛇出動

中國決勝台海三部曲(一)----引蛇出動


正如我差不多兩年前預計的那樣，台灣會在2008年把統獨公投與總統大選綁在一起。入聯公投實際上就是統獨公投。

2008的台獨時間表決不是台灣當局單獨可以來確定的。2008年北京舉辦奧運會，2009年高雄舉辦世界運動會和2010年上海舉辦世界博覽會的安排也決不是巧合，而是台獨勢力和東西方反中國勢力的精心安排。

隻要中國政府和中國人民有與統一共存亡的堅強決心並以實際行動向世人證明這一點，中國就一定能夠粉碎台獨企圖，完成統一大業。

為奪取台海決戰的勝利，我認為中國可把台海決戰分三個階段進行.

(一)第一階段: 引蛇出動

中國在這一階段可做一下事情:

(1)宣布中國再次進入內戰狀態(the resumption of civil war)

這個想法來自一位美籍華人的文章(原文見後).

宣布的時間應等台灣正式確定入聯公投與總統大選綁在一起的第二天。

這樣做的好處是:

(i) 界定台海之戰是一國之內戰,外人不應幹涉;
(ii) 宣布中國再次進入內戰狀態,但先不采取行動,無人能譴責中國;
(iii) 既然中國再次進入內戰狀態,中國就可以在需要的時候采取行動,不需要的時候就不動,中國可以靈活進行台海之戰.

(2)宣布台灣的一部分人為戰犯或恐怖分子;

(3)中國軍方做好攻台準備並防止有人對中國偷襲;

(4)既然中國再次進入內戰狀態,在中國的某些地區是不安全的,通知有關國家從中國領土的危險地區撤走;

這可起到敲山震虎,一石雙鳥的作用.有關國家撤不撤人隨他們去.


我估計有些國家又會搞軍演或派軍艦進入台海,如果那樣,中國13億人民對誰是中國的敵人誰是中國的朋友就一目了然了,全國上下也就能更好形成同仇敵慨的凝聚力，中國在台海決戰第一階段(引蛇出動)的目的就達到了.

接下來中國就可做第二階段的事情.

再次提一下中國決勝台海的三張牌: 大陸民意，國際外交和軍事鬥爭。




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*美籍華人的文章
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There are many things Mainland can do regarding the gradual independence of Taiwan by CSB.

We ought to realize that it is a game played by CSB, step-by-step, little-by-little towards independence. If Mainland did not respond to a small step, then another small step follows. This way he will not get the condemnation by USA. Eventually, the independent Taiwan is a fact not a political argument anymore. This is his strategy.

Well, if he plays the game, why not mainland also plays the same game, if independence is gradual, unification can be gradual too. Force can be gradual too. The first thing mainland can do is to declare the resumption of civil war. The civil war between the PRC government and ROC government was never officially ended. Simply declare the war again and make no military move, so nobody will condemn you anything.

Many people say President Bush is stupid. Actually, I think he is really smart politically, he declared the war on terrorism. If he needs it, it is a war, if he doesn’t need it, it is not a war. Why not Mainland does the same thing, declare the resumption of civil war, life goes on as usual, if CSB does something politically, then Mainland does something militarily too.

The second thing Mainland can do is to prosecute CSB under the anti-secession law in the Mainland. Let the world know that it is one country, the law applies to him too.

I do not know how to input Chinese. I wish someone will translate this into Chinese and post to as many places as possible so that the Mainland government will get the idea.


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Ask the Two Conferences to authorize the resumption of the civil war.

You do not need to have any military movement at this moment. After declaring war, in the future, if he do something towards independence, shoot a missile or two to a no-man place in Taiwan as response, since it is a war, you will not have the blame neither the high pressure from other countries.


Here is another story.

Several years I was working in a university. The university Foundation has a lady from Taiwan. She was married to a Japanese. She organized a meeting called “Formosa Independence Forum”. At that time, many Chinese students went to the forum to protest, there was even a little violence. When I found out she was the organizer, I wrote a letter to the Foundation. “As a citizen, taxpayer and alumni, I strongly feel she abused her power and abused public resources for her personal political agenda. I demand an investigation on this incident. Or I will request the State Budgeting Office to do the investigation and I reserve all legal rights to pursue it further.”

After some time, the Foundation replied me “Our investigation found no wrong-doing of her, however, she moved to another position in the university and is no longer with the Foundation.” The forum was never held again.