PROFESSOR3

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告訴你股市進場3原則,嚴格遵守,可保“小賠或大賺”的結果。

(2009-03-26 07:40:33) 下一個
嚴格遵循俺多次提出的入場3原則,可保交易無憂:
1,每次隻投入“可投資資產”的20%,絕不多投(初次入場者往往喜歡一次投入,圖個痛快,但心理負擔沉重,因此失敗的幾率最大);
2,一定要“逢低進場”,也就是當股價向下跌落超過一定百分比之後再買進。根據您要買進的股票的震蕩幅度做出決定震蕩幅度大的股票,甚至股價下跌20%就是最好買點,因為2-3個上升交易日就會讓您暴賺。牛市中別怕向下的回調,越跌越買。耐心等待,不要追高。每筆投資賺錢之後才投入下一筆資金,牛市“逢低進場”,賺錢機會很大滴。萬一第一次進場就被套,初學者可以選擇長期等待,但前提是倉位不重。因為在此情況下手中“彈藥”充足,心理負擔輕,可以堅持。前麵的投資如果嚴重賠錢,就考慮轉向,因為你是“逢低進場”的。如果有較豐富投資經驗,頂多做一次向下平均,但兩次買價之間必須有較大差距,反彈至2筆投資都已不賠不賺時賣掉其中一半;
3,任何兩筆投資都不要集中在一天完成,至少是在次日,最好過3-5個交易日。不看盤中價,因為盤中價格往往具有欺騙性,收盤價對趨勢的可信性較高。牢記俺的“進場3原則”,您會成為一個股市投資的勝利者!
另外請你注意,盡管俺在前一段時間裏,對大盤波段趨勢(2月17日看跌,3月5日看漲)的判斷驚人的準確,但俺對短線交易的判斷,比對一波趨勢的判斷成功率要低很多。因為要想持續準確判斷短線漲跌,幾乎是不可能的事。
實際上還有另一個原因影響俺的超短線預測:因為每次俺說某個價格可以進場後,都有大批散戶跟進,不斷以ask(就是那個較高的“賣價”)買進,其結果是為莊家創造了出貨的機會。所以俺曾一再呼籲,如果你要買進俺推薦的股票,務必隻用“買價”Bid(即報價中那個較低的價格)等待買進,買不到拉倒。因為莊家的交易模式很一致,80%的情況下不會使用“賣價”直接買進。隻有散戶才用ask價直接買進。你用ask價買進,等於是送給莊家Easy Money,還會促使他們進一步向下砸盤,以便賺到更多的Easy Money。
俺對美股、特別是金融股的信心很強,仍看道指8000+,不會輕易變向。直到有收盤時的真正“長陰”出現,俺才會另做考慮。俺的信心也來自於進場價實在太低,所以賠錢的幾率幾乎不存在。你如直到$3+才進場,隻要倉位輕,也就不會太緊張滴。初次進入股市的人,往往喜歡一次重倉投入,那是完全錯誤的。因為重倉會使您的判斷很容易失誤,股價稍有波動,您就會倉皇出逃,結果可能總是賠多賺少。您如目前倉位較重,則應考慮減倉,因為晚上睡個好覺是第一位重要的事啊。
今天很累,晚安!
祝你發財!
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閱讀 ()評論 (19)
評論
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複flying_bird的評論:
俺看5月底前C上$5,FAS上$15!按照“進場3原則”,不急,心態就會很好,賺錢機會大大滴。祝您發財!
flying_bird 回複 悄悄話 絕對佩服!現在俺是空倉,請問還要不要進C和FAS?或者什麽別的股票?多謝!
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複pptboy的評論:
check BAC's price now. good luck!
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複iamhereforfun的評論:
I made a call to "jump in" to China stocks on March 3, and call to buy C and BAC on March 5(Check the post history). What do u think, is it profitable call?
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複iamhereforfun的評論:
Go to DaqianGutan to c my post by checking post history. Everythings there u r asking. I don't need to answer u here cus post here is "back dated". The "post history" is a REAL RECORD of my trading and current holdings with time of the posts.
pptboy 回複 悄悄話 Will BAC drop back to $5 level?
pptboy 回複 悄悄話 Hi Professor,
do you think financial stocks have recovered from lowest bottom?
iamhereforfun 回複 悄悄話 回複PROFESSOR3的評論:
I think you are right that it is a bull market, but it is not the bottom yet. And your message of urging people to jump in is irresponsible and misleading.
iamhereforfun 回複 悄悄話 回複PROFESSOR3的評論:

Sometimes the longer you stay in the market the more foolish mistakes you make. Lehmann's CEO spent whole life in wall street, AIG CEO spent whole life in insurance business, eventually they were biggest losers.
iamhereforfun 回複 悄悄話 Actually I just want you to do one thing and it will be more interesting than posting any of your prediction, opinion, etc. Can you post a list of Finance or other stocks you are buying NOW and what prices you bought (don't tell us how many shares you buy) and we will see one or two years later if you win or lose. Fact is 1000 times more convincing than words. Right ?
iamhereforfun 回複 悄悄話 Thanks for your response. You don't need to further explan to me. I am not convinced and will not convinced by you
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複pinemouse的評論:
Follow my "3 Rules" for ur investment. U may average once if u r experienced investor. Just keep if u r not experienced, it'll give u return anyway, since it's still undervalued very much at price under $3.
Gooooood luck to u!
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複pptboy的評論:
Both will be OK. But best one would be C+FAS portfolio. BAC is one of best, either.
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複Lyra的評論:
No, it's not. In a big Bull Market, u'll have much more probability to win. Trust me, this is a big Bull Market. You never heard anybody tell u so condidently. Good luck!
PROFESSOR3 回複 悄悄話 回複iamhereforfun的評論:
Thanks for an answer. You should live in US Stock Market for more than 10 years for understanding my point. I experienced all big events in this market and I believe my prediction would be very smart one.
Anyway, I'll make another post later to explain u why I think everything will be OK in US.
iamhereforfun 回複 悄悄話 Don't understand why you are confident on finance stocks. I was confident on them too but many of them went bankrupt and many became penny stocks. For example, Leahman, Fannie Mae, Freddie, WAMU, don't think $3 is a good cheap price, some of them can go to zero finally.
Lyra 回複 悄悄話 The best way for "small loss or big gain" is playing lottery :)
pptboy 回複 悄悄話 what is your view on AIG and Fannie Mae?
pinemouse 回複 悄悄話 Thank you professor for the advise! I bought some C today.
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