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Afteraweekofselloff,marketiscurrentlynearsupport.Itlikelytohavesomereboundcoming.Indicatorsareoversoldwheneverybodyrunningforthedoor.
ButbeforepossiblesellinMaycoming,anotherbounceislikely.
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BasingpatternofGoldandBond(riskoff)assetsshouldnotbeignored.Usuallybondmarketknowsbetterthanequitymarket.Itmightmeanthattherearesomedeepercorrectioncominginnextfewweeks.Istillthinkthat"SellinMay"meansmorethisyrthanever.Maybe"SellinApr"wouldbeinplay.
Itisnottimetobeaggressivebuttobeverycautious.
Cramerusuallysaysthat"Therearebullmarketssomewhere".Italsomeans&qu...[
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ThismeansthattherearelotsofupsideinCORN.[
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Lastnight,NGfuturejumped5%higher.Butattheendoftheday,itlost11%.Suchbigswingusuallyindicatesweakness.AnotherindicatoristhatDQisparticularlybullishaboutit.Somesaysitisgoingto$8.Well,USenergycompaniescontinuetoproduceNGatimpressivepace.Oncethecoldweathermoveson,excessiveNGwillcontinuetocome.Atthispoint,bullsneedtobeverycautious.However,3XinverseETFdecaysfast.Soonceadropathand,tradeonDGAZshouldbeclose...[
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Wehasareversaltodayrightaroundresistance.Takingoutthisresistancewouldmeanthat1900isathand.Butitislikelytopullbacktosupport.Thesupportlineis1780.
UseTWM/DGAZtohedgedownsideriskwithstopoftoday'slow.
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傳說中的V型反轉居然實現啦.但52周新高的股票仍在減少.2014年大宗商品大幅領先.現在阻力和支撐已經明顯.
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Unfortunately,supportisbrokentoday.Iwasexpectingabounceto1825toformtherightshoulder,butitdidn'thappen.Instead,stopsgottriggeredoneafteranother.Nowmarketison3rdwavedown.Wave1:from1850to1775,wave2:from1775to1795,wave3:startedfrom1795.Wave3isusuallythemostpowerfulwave.Firsttargetis1710-1725areawhichiasalso200movingaverage.IfFriday'sjobreportispoor(Delllikelytoannouncealayoffofnorth15,000jobssoon),itc...[
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Mostmajorsectorsareatsupport.Momentum,Put/Callratio,VIXindicatethatmarketisatsupport.Breakdownfromthislevelwillbringmoreconcernsoftheuptrend.
Butifmarketindeedreboundsfromhere,wehavetoseehowhighitcanreach.Since2012,whenmarketstartstobounce,therewerenobigpullbacksontheway.Marketwentstraightupwithoutpausewhichleftmanypeopleonthestation.Let'sseewhatitdoesthistime.
Reboundtargetis1825onS&P...[
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