過了明天之後,可以暫時舒口氣。但千萬別抱幻想。該殺該嶄的就要毫不留情。[
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Don\'tbefooledsmalldips.Don\'ttouchweaksectors.Don\'tfeelitistoolatetojumpinhotsectors.[
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Itisprobablytruethatagoodmoodisabigplusintrading.Butagoodmoodisnotequaltobeliefinsomereligion.
Therearetonsofpeopleinthisworldwhohaveagoodmoodbutdon\'tbelieveinanyreligion.Therearealsotonsofpeoplewhoareevilbutbelongtothoseso-calleddie-hardreligionbelievers.
Thosebragabouttheimportanceofreligionintradingcanstop.[
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Itisacrazyworld.Youloseifyoucannotmakeyourselfcrazy.[
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Lookatthecommercialpapermarket.CommercialpapermarketisthecornerstoneofCorporateAmerica.
Willtheratecutinflateeverything?Youbet.Lookatthesoaringpricesofgold,oil,andagriculturecommodities.[
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Didnotexpectittofallsofast...[
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Weakbearsturnbullish,strongbearsarehesitating...Whenthestrongestbearsdisappear,itisthetimeforthetraptobeexposed.
Whenwillthishappen?CouldbethisOctober.Couldbenextyear.Couldbeanotherfewyearslater.[
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Bernanke\'sgoalistoachieveaninflationof8%bytheendofthisyear,andanoilpriceof$110andgoldpriceof$850,anGDPgrowthof1.5%.
Sowhatshouldwedo?[
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Severalreasons:
1.Therewon\'tbeabigratecut,maximum0.25%.
Reasons:
a.mostoftheotherbigeconomiesheldtheirratessteadyorhikedtheirrates;
b.oilpriceisatrecordhigh;
c.Fedisstillplayingdowntheeffectofthesubprimemessonthewholeeconomydespitesomeearlysymptomsofeconomyslowingdown.
AllofthesesqueezeFed\'sroomtocutratesbig.
2.Fedwillindicatethatitwilltakefurtheractionsifthingsgetwor...[
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TheFedwilldosomethingtokeepthemarkethappy.[
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