theessenceofachannel:1)trend,2)neartermoscillationitwillprobablymakemoresenseifyoureadmyposts2daysago:GOOG,2006/08/15,it'syesterdayoncemore.(pic)來源:noMatter於06-08-1607:50:49don'toverlookthelittlechannel,lasttimearoundhereitbounced5or6timeswith15-20pointseachtime[
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IhadsaidthatI'dlikethechartmoreifNAZactuallypeakedonmidday8/16at38,fallingbacktothecurrentlittleuptrendingchannelandslowlyrotateon,andsaid39willbeaverynicemidtermtarget...butitjumpedto39rightaway(probablyhalfduetoOE)nowthefirstrushquiteddown,isthisabearishtime?maybeforfirst2daysofnextweek,butit'shardtobesoifwepinforthemidterm.[
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particularlythewaterinChina,(hint,BudandDennonandothersalreadydid...HuiYuansold20%lastmonth...honestlyIthinkthenextmovethenewPepsiCEOshoulddoistobuyoutTongYi)-----------onoil,itmighttake$10toextraoilfromtheearth,whichItotallydoubtbecause李嘉誠boughtintoCanadianoilsandsandweknowittakesmorethan$10todothat,butevenit'strue,thismathisgrosslymisleadingbecauseitdoesn'tcountthe"ownership"cost,te...[
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judgementbasedonracehasnointelligenceeither,[
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imho,quitelikelyitwillbein4.5%neighborhoodwithin6monthsifmorenewsabutslowingeconomy,10yryieldslidedfrom5.2%inearlyJulyto4.8%now,historyhasbeenthatFedalwaysovershotintighting,therehavebeennocasethatitpausesandthenre-raiserate,----------Ithinktheriskfordeflationissmallerthanother,deflationhasbeenlabelledasthemostevilofall,andpeoplehavecometounderstandhowtopreventthat,(byover-floodingthemarketwithliq...[
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