Jeffrey Sachs 世界正處於核戰爭的邊緣

“世界正處於核戰爭的邊緣”：傑弗裏·薩克斯

https://jjmilt.substack.com/p/the-world-is-at-the-edge-of-nuclear

喬恩·米爾蒂莫 2024 年 4 月 6 日

傑弗裏·薩克斯表示，失敗的不僅僅是俄羅斯和美國之間的外交。 甚至不再嚐試外交。

我真正尊敬和印象深刻的公共知識分子的名單正在迅速減少。 但我確實欽佩的少數知名學者之一是傑弗裏·薩克斯（Jeffrey Sachs），他是一位美國經濟學家、公共政策分析師和哥倫比亞大學教授。

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薩克斯不僅是一位傑出的經濟學家（盡管我們幾乎肯定在很多觀點上存在分歧），而且是一位精明而勇敢的全球事務分析師。 他是最早將北溪二號被毀事件的各個點聯係起來的公眾思想家之一，指出它具有中央情報局領導的行動的所有特征。

“如果你在過去的五年裏一直關注美國，實際上是從越南戰爭開始的六十年，你就會對此了解很多。 當你有一個秘密情報單位中央情報局執行秘密行動時，就會發生這種情況。 這就是工作。 總統下達命令，他們做各種各樣的事情。 他們發動政變，製造內亂，製造“革命”，炸毀基礎設施。 這是工作的一部分，而且實際上是眾所周知的。”

薩克斯是少數幾個似乎認識到美國對烏克蘭的幹預的人之一，這種幹預早在俄羅斯 2022 年入侵之前就開始了，並將世界推向了第三次世界大戰的邊緣。

對於那些不知道的人來說，美國國務卿托尼·布林肯最近宣布烏克蘭將加入北約，多年來許多人警告這一行動可能會引發歐洲和亞洲的全麵戰爭，這與我們自二戰以來所目睹的任何戰爭都不一樣 二.

很難理解促使我們走向第三次世界大戰的多種力量和動機，但薩克斯在最近接受杜蘭報采訪時談到了一些重要觀點。

薩克斯的主要觀點不僅僅是外交失敗。 甚至不再嚐試外交。

俄羅斯與美國之間的溝通變得如此糟糕，以至於當俄羅斯外交官到達時，美國外交官就離開了房間。 當俄羅斯大使表示願意進行討論時，美國大使則表示沒有什麽可討論的。

薩克斯解釋了為什麽會發生這種情況，首先從美國的目標開始。

“美國有一個議程，”薩克斯說。 “議程就是霸權。”

聽到這個消息令人震驚，但薩克斯指出，五角大樓和國務院的文件中確實詳細說明了這一點，盡管經常使用的詞是“首要”。 由於霸權是目標，它阻礙了解決此類性質衝突的主要方式：外交。

“當你相信主導地位時......你相信你不必與其他任何人交談，”薩克斯說。 “另一邊沒有紅線。 對方沒有任何利益。”

以前的此類全球攤牌（例如古巴導彈危機）是在這些國家的領導人能夠相互接觸並找到外交解決方案時得到解決的，即使這意味著繞過軍事和國家顧問。

“肯尼迪和赫魯曉夫兩位國家元首，盡管有自己的顧問，但還是想出了如何拯救世界，”《推動世界：肯尼迪尋求和平》一書的作者薩克斯說。

薩克斯說，今天這一切都沒有發生，也許是因為“拜登的精神狀態還不夠。”

薩克斯表示，無論出於何種原因，外交關係的徹底失敗可能會導致災難。

薩克斯表示，不僅僅是拜登、布林肯和維多利亞·紐蘭等領導人不懂外交。 他說他們認為他們甚至不需要外交。

“世界正處於核戰爭的邊緣，”他說，“你甚至不嚐試與對方進行討論。”

'The World Is at the Edge of Nuclear War': Jeffrey Sachs

https://jjmilt.substack.com/p/the-world-is-at-the-edge-of-nuclear

Jeffrey Sachs says it isn’t just that diplomacy between Russia and the US has failed. Diplomacy is no longer even being attempted.

JON MILTIMORE  APR 06, 2024

The list of public intellectuals whom I actually respect and find impressive is rapidly dwindling. But one of the few high-profile academics I do admire is Jeffrey Sachs, an American economist, public policy analyst, and professor at Columbia University.

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Sachs isn’t just a brilliant economist (though we’d almost certainly disagree on many points), but an astute and intrepid analyst of global affairs. He was one of the earliest public thinkers to connect the dots on the destruction of Nord Stream 2, pointing out it had all the earmarks of a CIA-led operation.

“If you followed the US for the last five decades, actually six decades from Vietnam onward, you know a lot about this. This is what happens when you have a secret intelligence unit, the CIA, which carries out covert operations. That’s there job. Presidents give orders, they do all sorts of things. They make coups, they create civil unrest, they create ‘revolutions,’ they blow up infrastructure. It’s part of the job, and it’s actually quite well known.”

Sachs is one of the few people who seems to realize US meddling in Ukraine, which began well before Russia’s 2022 invasion, has brought the world to the brink of World War III.

For those who don’t know, US Secretary of State Tony Blinken recently announced Ukraine will be joining NATO, an action many have warned for years could trigger a full-blown war in Europe and Asia, unlike anything we’ve witnessed since World War II.

It’s difficult to understand the many forces and incentives at work that are driving us toward what could possibly be World War III, but Sachs, in a recent interview on The Duran, touches on some important points.

Sachs’s primary point isn’t just that diplomacy has failed. It’s that diplomacy is no longer even being attempted.

Communication between Russian the US have grown so bad that US diplomats leave the room when Russian diplomats arrive. When Russian ambassadors say they’re open to discussions, US ambassadors say there is nothing to discuss.

Sachs explains why this is happening, and it begins with the goals of the United States.

“The US has an agenda,” says Sachs. “The agenda is hegemony.”

It’s shocking to hear this, but Sachs points out it is literally spelled out in Pentagon and State Department documents, though the word used often is “primacy.” And because hegemony is the goal, it has frustrated the primary way conflicts of this nature are resolved: diplomacy.

“When you believe in dominance…you believe you don’t have to talk to anyone else,” Sachs says. “There are no red lines on the other side. There are no interests on the other side.”

Previous global showdowns of this kind—such as the Cuban Missile Crisis—were resolved when leaders of these countries were able to reach out to one another and find a diplomatic solution, even if that meant circumventing military and state advisors.

“The two heads of state, Kennedy and Khrushchev, figured out how to save the world despite their own advisors,” say Sachs, the author of To Move the World: JFK's Quest for Peace.

None of that is happening today, Sachs says, perhaps because “Biden is not mentally up to it.”

Whatever the reason, Sachs says the total failure of diplomatic relations could result in catastrophe.

Sachs says it’s not just that leaders like Biden, Blinken, and Victoria Nuland don’t understand diplomacy. He says they believe they don’t even need diplomacy.

“The world is at the edge of nuclear war,” he says, “and you don’t even try to have a discussion with the other side.”

Watch the entire discussion here.