帶著1994年醫保改革的失敗、丈夫克林頓（Bill Clinton）的背叛、全美全世界人權鬥士的光環，以及“班加西事件”、“郵件門醜聞”揮之不去的陰影，希拉裏（Hillary Clinton）7月28日晚正式接受提名，成為2016年民主黨總統候選人。至此，長達三個月的大選選戰拉開帷幕。民主黨黨代會結束的這一天，距離11月8日大選投票，恰好剩下100天左右時間。這一場“希特”決戰，最終花落誰家，未來100天，我們拭目以待。

47年前，剛剛大學畢業的希拉裏成為第一個在維斯理學院畢業典禮上發表演講的學生，而她富有爭議的演講也引起了全國的注意。47年後，她在民主黨黨代表發表的演講，發出美國正處於“清算時刻”的聲音。28日她晚接受提名時發表的演講，堪稱希拉裏從政以來最為重要、最具曆史意義的一次政治演說。這也是奧巴馬總統8年前競選總統後，民主黨再次發出頗具感召力的呼聲。

為期四天的民主黨黨代會7月28日落下帷幕（圖源：VCG）

民主黨黨代會總是充滿熱淚與激情，這次黨的Party開得很成功，不但安撫了桑德斯（Bernie Sanders）支持者，而且成功將全黨團結在了希拉裏周圍。8年前，希拉裏初選支持者也曾誓言拒絕支持奧巴馬，但後來他們多數都將票投給了奧巴馬。為了吸引桑德斯的支持者，民主黨黨代會在發言者及內容的策劃方麵，都照顧到了這部分選民。據《華盛頓郵報》黨代會結束之際公布的民調，90%以上的桑德斯支持者會在大選投票支持希拉裏。

由於這次演說詞是由希拉裏團隊以及奧巴馬“禦用”筆杆子共同商討敲定，所以內容整體上非常精彩，富有哲理；語言保持樸實、幽默的同時，也展現了理性批判的思維，以及與時俱進的智慧。她在演講中尤其感謝了桑德斯，多次提到自己將努力實現的進步性政策規劃。一個自信、精神飽滿、富有活力的民主黨總統候選人形象油然而生。

相比整體演講，批評特朗普的措詞並沒有占據很大的比例。個別批評措詞也是采取比較柔和、諷刺、間接地表達方式。希拉裏明白，他的這次演說不應該過度拉仇恨，而是要呼籲團結，共同解決問題。所以，他批評了特朗普個人，並沒有過多地疏遠共和黨人。換句話說，希拉裏的演講並沒有踩兩黨選舉紅線，而是有意將自己的聽眾設定為：共和黨人、民主黨人、保守派、自由派、獨立選民、不同年齡段選民。

特朗普會否在未來三月打敗建製派的希拉裏？（圖源：VCG）

希拉裏在黨代會竭力展現團結、鼓勵選民。共和黨總統候選人特朗普（Donald Trump）則仍然我行我素地延續自己一些非常荒唐的言論。比如，上一周的共和黨黨代會期間，特朗普曾說：“任何支持暴力、憎惡或壓迫的人，在我國從來不會受到歡迎，絕不！”但是，這一周，針對民主黨黨代會發言者對他的批評，特朗普28日則說：“自己將拳打那些家夥們，打得他們頭暈目眩”。

這兩天，白宮方麵和希拉裏競選團隊協作也很默契。希拉裏團隊通過社交媒體大讚奧巴馬政績，甚至有點追溯奧巴馬從政之路的意味。奧巴也將在今後三個月極力為希拉裏助選，確保她贏得大選。希拉裏大選競選團隊消息人士透露，正在和奧巴馬方麵溝通未來3個月總統先生可能要前往的搖擺州或戰場州。

未來2天，希拉裏及其副手凱恩(Tim Kaine）將繼續在賓夕法尼亞州競選集會。據薩福克大學（Suffolk University）7月28日公布的民調數據，希拉裏在該州的支持率超過特朗普9個百分點之多。就全國民調而言，據RealClearPolitics實時數據，希拉裏領先特朗普4個百分點。要想贏得大選，特朗普至少要拿下賓州、俄亥俄州、佛州等藍色州。但是，從目前來看，希拉裏在這些州的民調都超過特朗普。

如果希拉裏當選，民主黨將半個世紀後迎來首次“持續執政”，美國也將迎來首位女性總統。根據《紐約時報》和CBS最新民調數據，67%的全國選民、74%的獨立選民依然不信任希拉裏。但是，華府選舉政治分析師認為，眼下看民調為時過早，隻能算作雙方團隊競選參考的數據。真正民調發揮實際效應的時間應該是9月末到10月份，也就是兩黨正副總統候選人舉行辯論的時候。那個時候，全國選民才會根據候選人的表現改變自己的搖擺意向。
~~~~~~~~~~

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【2016民主黨黨代會回放】愛美國為主調的民主黨代會大受歡迎，收視率被證實超過以愛川普為主調的共和黨代會

來源: 互聯網於 2016-07-29 11:44:32 [檔案] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀： 82 次 (7649 bytes)

不愛川普的都靠邊站，包括前總統。這讓川普不開心，他今天說他不是共和黨黨代會的製作者，僅僅出席大會作個演講而已。

來捧場的正任職的正副總統和競選下任正副總統的候選人出席本周的民主黨黨代會片斷回放：

"Trump is a guy who promises a lot but, you may have noticed, he has got a way of saying the same two words every time he makes his biggest, hugest promises. 'Believe me.' It’s going to be great, believe me. We are going to build a wall and make Mexico pay for it, believe me. We are going to destroy ISIS so fast, believe me. There is nothing suspicious in my tax returns, believe me! By the way, does anybody in this massive auditorium believe that Donald Trump has been paying his fair share of taxes?"

"To state the obvious, and I'm not trying to be a wise guy here, I really mean it: that's not Donald Trump's story," Biden said. "Just listen to me for a minute without booing or cheering. I really mean this. His cynicism is unbounded. His lack of empathy and compassion can be summed up in a phrase I suspect he's most proud of having made famous: 'You're fired.' I mean really, I'm not joking. Think about that. Think about everything you learned as a child, no matter where you were raised. How can there be pleasure in saying 'you're fired!' He's trying to tell us he cares about the middle class? Give me a break. That's a bunch of malarkey!"

Ronald Reagan called America “a shining city on a hill.” Donald Trump calls it “a divided crime scene” that only he can fix. It doesn’t matter to him that illegal immigration and the crime rate are as low as they’ve been in decades, because he’s not offering any real solutions to those issues. He’s just offering slogans, and he’s offering fear. He’s betting that if he scares enough people, he might score just enough votes to win this election. That is another bet that Donald Trump will lose. Because he’s selling the American people short. We are not a fragile or frightful people. Our power doesn’t come from some self-declared savior promising that he alone can restore order. We don’t look to be ruled. Our power comes from those immortal declarations first put to paper right here in Philadelphia all those years ago; We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal; that together, We, the People, can form a more perfect union. That’s who we are. That’s our birthright – the capacity to shape our own destiny.

Our country's motto is e pluribus unum: out of many, we are one. Will we stay true to that motto? Well, we heard Donald Trump's answer last week at his convention. He wants to divide us - from the rest of the world, and from each other. He wants us to fear the future and fear each other. Well, a great Democratic President, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, came up with the perfect rebuke to Trump more than eighty years ago, during a much more perilous time. “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.”

花絮：

一位陣亡士兵的父母演講。這家人是穆斯林，兒子死於中東反恐行動。士兵的父親說“川普要穆斯林表態是否忠於美國，我要質問川普是否忠於美國憲法”。老人從身上拿出了美國憲法 -

一名在美國佛羅裏達州奧蘭多槍案中失去兒子的媽媽，今天出席民主黨全國代表大會時懇求嚴管槍枝，她感人的演說，讓黨代表們潸然淚下。

法新社報導，民主黨全代會請來多位講者對槍枝暴力發表尖銳又一針見血的演說，賴諾寧（Christine Leinonen）是其中一位，她的發言引來熱烈回響。賴諾寧說：“教堂的鍾聲敲49次大概要花5分鍾。克裏斯多福是我唯一的兒子。”

身為密西根州警的賴諾寧還回想起生產當天，醫院把她的佩槍放進保險箱，“我知道普通常識的槍枝政策可以救命，很高興克裏斯多福出生當天，普通常識的槍枝政策有落實，但在他死的那天，常識跑哪裏去了？”

她哽咽地說：“我絕對不希望你們會問那個問題，所以我支持希拉裏。”

影星布萊德利庫柏今天低調在民主黨全國代表大會觀眾席現身，引起網路瘋傳，庫柏曾演出共和黨支持者熱愛的電影《美國狙擊手》（American Sniper），成為支持擁槍與伊拉克戰役的共和黨人的銀幕偶像，全片因保守派力挺，在美國大賣3億5000萬美元。庫柏出席民主黨活動引起網友高度關切，有網友酸道“共和黨人大概要崩潰了”。

美國藝人（包括好萊塢明星、著名歌手等）愛政治，支持民主黨 -

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TJKCB 2016-08-01 16:42:50 回複悄悄話
您的位置：文學城 ? 論壇 ? 時事述評 ? 激發仇恨永遠比激發愛容易 count blessings

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來源: TJKCB 於 2016-07-29 12:03:54 [檔案] [博客] [轉至博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀：2192 次 (28178 bytes)

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本文內容已被 [ TJKCB ] 在 2016-08-01 16:41:46 編輯過。如有問題，請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.

弟兄發表評論於 2016-07-29 11:24:25

從希特勒到今天不過幾十年，人的大腦不會基因突變，人性的墮落還是一樣，激發仇恨永遠比激發愛容易，失去信仰必然黑暗來臨。

Leader 不可能靈光一現就拍板，不是幸運垂青的賭徒，也不是法眼通天的神仙，沒有長時間周密的思索和高人的不斷指點，Leader不可能作出英明的決斷。所以，leader needs 4、5年以前就開始考慮要不要policy ideas？怎麽 execute ideas？應該是可信的。Evil is in detail -

Hillary's mind is obsessed with details - so rigid, so careful, so much mapped out, so systematic, thus all for the last 40+ years, none of men/women politicians can do any harm to her - a tough leader emerging from the horizon - blessings she has counted daily (Her book: "Living History" and Bill Clinton often says "I've been so much blessed to live to tell you". Ready or not, here comes:

May God help pick up the leader governing the USA ! God's steady hand guard the peace on Earth - The Rainbow commitment - it's Love, not hate, hold together.

Hint:

Photo 1 - Clintons showing "all is about YOU! the voters." (Bill's message all along).

Photo 2 - Trumps, "all about me!" ("only I alone can fix it!")

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~```

Hillary Clinton's Amazing Town Hall Moment: "Practice The Discipline Of Gratitude"
dailykos.com

how she balances ego and humility, her very personal answer floored me. "Practice The Discipline Of Gratitude" - a phrase written in the book by Henri Nouwen ("The Return of Prodigal son" - refer to the Bible Jesus talked about a father and his two sons.) Such a practice should be in your routine like writing down daily in your diary of counting your blessings. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/2/4/1479474/-Hillary-Clinton-s-

~~~~

TJKCB 2016-07-29 12:22:08 回複悄悄話
您的位置：文學城 ? 論壇 ? 時事述評 ? 兩者的主調差別這麽大，連保守派媒體人都坐不住了耶。跟川普描繪黑暗的“美國崩潰論”太不同了

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兩者的主調差別這麽大，連保守派媒體人都坐不住了耶。跟川普描繪黑暗的“美國崩潰論”太不同了

　

來源: 互聯網於 2016-07-29 12:02:17 [檔案] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀：9 次 (6359 bytes)

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回答: 嗬嗬愛美國為主調的民主黨代會，第一天stage上一麵美國國旗都沒有由狗狗媽於 2016-07-29 11:49:47

Conservative writer Ron Fournier:

Well done, @realDonaldTrump. You made Democrats a party of sunny patriotism and values.

You sure @billclinton didn't ask you to run?

— Ron Fournier (@ron_fournier) July 29, 2016

National Review editor Jonah Goldberg:

Why this convention is better: It's about loving America. GOP convention was about loving Trump. If you didn't love Trump, it offered nada.

— Jonah Goldberg (@JonahNRO) July 29, 2016

John Podhoretz, former Ronald Reagan speech writer and Commentary editor:

Take about five paragraphs out of that Obama speech and it could have been a Reagan speech. Trust me. I know.

— John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2016

Fox News host Greg Gutfeld:

if repubs had championed their principles with specifics rather than embrace autocracy - they wouldn't have yielded this turf to dems.

— GregGutfeld (@greggutfeld) July 29, 2016

Conservative blogger Erick Erickson:

For Republicans who are not social conservatives, I have to imagine last night and tonight at the DNC are having an impact on them.

— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) July 29, 2016

Conservative Iowa radio host Steve Deace:

So most of conservative media and the GOP spent the week rooting for Russia, and now the Democrats get to rally around the flag.

Dreadful.

— Steve Deace (@SteveDeaceShow) July 29, 2016

Conservative Wisconsin radio host Charlie Sykes:

Snark aside: GOP needs to understand what is happening to them tonight…

— Charlie Sykes (@SykesCharlie) July 29, 2016

Do you know how old I am? Old enough to remember when speeches like this would've been given at GOP convention… Not Dem one. Brutal.

— Charlie Sykes (@SykesCharlie) July 29, 2016

Rich Galen, press secretary for Dick Cheney:

How can it be that I am standing at my kitchen counter sobbing because of the messages being driven at the DNC? Where has the GOP gone?

— Rich Galen (@richgalen) July 29, 2016

Conservative ops veteran Matt Mackowiak

This Democratic convention has been an unmitigated disaster for the GOP. Very well produced. Unifying. Patriotic. Bravo.#DNCinPHL

— Matt Mackowiak (@MattMackowiak) July 29, 2016

Amanda Carpenter, former spokeswoman for Sen. Ted Cruz:

I am sure hearing a lot more about God and faith at the DNC than the RNC.

— Amanda Carpenter (@amandacarpenter) July 28, 2016

Conservative blogger AGConservative:

Still stunned. Feel like I'm in the twilight zone. Obama just defended America & conservative values from attacks by the Republican nominee.

— (((AG))) (@AG_Conservative) July 28, 2016

Commentary editor Noah Rothman:

Republicans could have stopped all this.

— Noah Rothman (@NoahCRothman) July 29, 2016

Daily Caller Writer Jamie Weinstein:

Now an immigrant medal of honor winner? If the goal is to reach independents and conservatives uneasy w/ Trump, well done Democrats

— Jamie Weinstein (@Jamie_Weinstein) July 29, 2016

登錄後才可評論.

隴山隴西郡

激發仇恨永遠比激發愛容易 count blessings

“希特”決戰進入100天倒計時看目前是啥情況…(圖)

【2016民主黨黨代會回放】愛美國為主調的民主黨代會大受歡迎，收視率被證實超過以愛川普為主調的共和黨代會

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隴山隴西郡

激發仇恨永遠比激發愛容易 count blessings

“希特”決戰進入100天倒計時 看目前是啥情況…(圖)

【2016民主黨黨代會回放】 愛美國為主調的民主黨代會大受歡迎，收視率被證實超過以愛川普為主調的共和黨代會

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“希特”決戰進入100天倒計時看目前是啥情況…(圖)

【2016民主黨黨代會回放】愛美國為主調的民主黨代會大受歡迎，收視率被證實超過以愛川普為主調的共和黨代會