博文
(2008-03-06 19:50:39)
IsawsomeonewasaccumulatingBEASputs-5000on2/29,5000on3/5,andanother4000today(Jun17.5put)-doesthismeanthatORCL/BEASmergerwillactuallynotgothrough?Ifthatisthecase,BEASwilldroplikearock.
Ontheotherhand,ORCLwasstrongtodayduetoanupgradeandgoodoutlookfromCEO-hugeblockofcallbuyingon3/4(Sep21call).这小子赌ER呢。
Let'swatchhowthesetwowillplayout.[阅读全文]
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(2008-03-04 13:18:23)

开盘前的感觉还不错,唯一有点遗憾没有收到开盘价上。。。每个trader都在看着一月的底-market就是跟你对着干,哈哈。Wewilllikelyseeasmallrallyto0.5retracementor5-dayma.
PutGGandcalledXLUtoday-waitingtoputXLYifitpopstothegapabove.
IYTlookslikeagoodswingtarget-chooseFDXifyouwanttoplayindividualstockwithhigherreturn.FREwilldropbelow20byApril.
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(2008-03-04 07:53:12)
XLUisnotgivingmeachance-stillwaitingforanentry.Itissuperstrongtoday,Iguessbigmoneyisneverwrong.
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Maxpainofindices-DIAdroppedto126andSPYdroppedto139(stillbullish?).FinancialsXLFandhomebuildersXHBlookedterrible,probablywillhaveasmallbouncefromlowerBBbeforedivingtoJanlows.RealestateIYRheldupreasonablywell-butitishardtotrustthatitwillhavemuchupsideroom. Ingeneral,Ifeeltherewillbeanothershoedroppinglaterthisweek.Ontheotherhand,today'sdoji*may*indicateashort-termrally,soIplantolong(foraquicktr...[阅读全文]
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(2008-03-03 20:58:10)

Ifclosebelow1320today-itlookslikeadoubletopandthesellingwillacceleratesincethenecklineisbroken.IfSPXpenetrades1320butinversestoclosehighertoday,willweseeanotherinverserallyafterbreakingone-monthlow(firsttarget5maaround1355)?Beprepared.
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(2008-02-22 15:51:31)

Cudostosnowboy.
看看这个TAPattern这次能不能workout.Iwillnotreadtoomuchintoit,willwatchthepriceactioncloselynextweek.
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(2008-02-22 13:33:52)


Closedmostoflongpositionsinthemorningpop,nicegainswithMTLwithso-soperformanceonotherpositions.NowonlyhasafewlongcallsonEXPEandERTS-puregambling.StillholdingstraddlesonSMH.
ThereasontoreducepositionswasthatIdidnotthink1340willhold-turnsouttobetrue.但盘尾拉的壮观!靠,俺1322的篮子啥也没接着,怒。MM歹毒啊,1327就掉头飞了,几分钟就拉的让人不敢追!MTL还弄新高,俺严重踏空还把资格弄丢了!说是s...[阅读全文]
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(2008-02-21 14:00:49)

Forgetaboutthetriangle,weareinabox-fornow.
DBAmadeyetanotherrecordhigh,buthowlongcanitholdon?
Metalandmininghadamassiveselloff,completelyerasedyesterday'sgains.Hasthissectortopped?BetterwatchoutformyMTL.
Energysector,particularlyoil,alsohadaselloff.ATWisindanger.Traderswerebusytakingprofits(whocanreallyblamethemgivensuchanedgymarket).NotethatNGSwasprettystrongthough.
Wedoneedtore...[阅读全文]
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(2008-02-20 13:06:43)


太冲动太冲动,把两边都捅破了!NND,不得不佩服MM的想象力。画线线的一定要注意fakebreakout,没有confirm不要入场,开盘gapdown通常是MM用来进货的,gapup通常是MM用来出货的。swingtrader追breakout一定要让它站稳几个小时,除非泥是DT并有严格止损。
传统意义上讲在大盘底部尾盘跳水是震仓,后市看好。现在灵不灵走着瞧。SPX突破三角上沿,并回测趋势线(成不成功明天再[阅读全文]
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EEVbrokedownimportantsupport@80,thoughvolumewasnotimpressivetoday.If80becomesresistance,emergingmarketwillbequitebullish.如果EmergingMarket走牛市,美国股市怎么会走熊呢?
关注今天的突破明天能否确认,还是一个bulltrap.明天又是一场血战。计划买入SDSifSPXlowertrendlineisbroken.
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