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讓開通道給石油先...

(2007-12-19 13:53:18) 下一個
讓開通道給石油先...

盡管我們一直在空,次在打擊...

但建議暫時離場觀望, 至少今夜不要打擊她...

原因:

法國喜歡鬧革命..提煉廠有工人罷工...盡管消息說解決了...但按他們性格..定會多幹幾天, 而且多幾天假期在聖誕節左右, 不好嗎?

還有, 我們一直以來關注美國原油庫存...

原本預期也就少個, 160-185萬桶, 卻少了780萬桶..

請注意, 這是從05年2月以來最低石油儲備..

所以強烈建議:

1> 讓開通道...不要打擊...

2> 老一個戰術, 換換也好...

3> 激進的..可以試探做多...

4> 9450以後尋找介入點試探..(如果沒有更多牛盤消息)

5> 盯緊股市...經濟不好...對石油也是打擊..包括法國工運...也是經濟不好的體現...市場是圓的..多角度看看...等待戰機..別打的順手..為打而打就沒意思了...利潤是第一選擇...

附錄篇文章..

Oil rises first day in five as U.S. inventories slump

By Moming Zhou & Polya Lesova, MarketWatch
Last update: 4:07 p.m. EST Dec. 19, 2007Print E-mail RSS Disable Live Quotes
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Crude-oil futures gained for the first time in five consecutive sessions, up more than $1 after data showed crude inventories in the U.S. slumped more than expected in the latest week to their lowest level in nearly three years.
Crude oil for February delivery ended the session up $1.16, or 1.3%, at $91.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Crude earlier rose to an intraday high of $92.35.
U.S. crude inventories fell by 7.6 million barrels to 296.9 million barrels in the week ending Dec. 14, the lowest since February 2005, the Energy Information Administration reported. Analysts at Platts, an energy information provider owned by the McGraw-Hill Cos., were expecting a drop of 1.8 million barrels.
This is the fifth straight week that the U.S., which consumes nearly a quarter of the world\'s oil production, saw its crude inventories drop. Stockpiles have fallen nearly 20 million barrels since the week ending Nov. 9, EIA data showed.
The report was bullish on crude prices, said James Williams, an economist at energy research firm WTRG Economics. A few months ago, this would have moved prices more than $3. The fact that oil prices haven\'t moved so much is another indication that we may have entered a bear market for oil. Crude oil is trading more on economic outlook than on week-to-week EIA data.
Crude had dropped nearly $4 in the past four sessions on worries that the credit crunch could drag the U.S. economy into recession, reducing oil demand from the world\'s largest oil consumer.
Edward Meir, an analyst at futures brokerage MF Global, said in a research note that oil prices are expected to remain stuck between the $87-$94 band for the time being.
Cold weather concerns and the general decline in stock levels should provide support, while the upside will be reined in by worries about the U.S. growth outlook and increasingly restrictive monetary polices being pursued by the Chinese, Meir said.
China is a major oil consumer, and its government has been taking steps to prevent its economy from overheating.
Meir also said liquidity will begin to dry up by Friday as next week\'s Christmas holiday approaches.
U.S. inventories
Sliding imports contributed to the inventories slump. U.S. crude-oil imports averaged 9.1 million barrels per day last week, down 952,000 barrels per day from the previous week, EIA reported.
At 296.9 million barrels, U.S. crude-oil inventories are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year, EIA reported.
EIA also reported crude inventories in Cushing, Okla., the delivery point for crude traded on the Nymex, rose for a fifth week, up 100,000 barrels to 17.4 million barrels.
On the petroleum products side, U.S. motor gasoline inventories increased by 3 million barrels to 205.2 million barrels last week, but were in the lower half of the average range. Distillate supplies, which include heating oil and diesel, decreased by 2.1 million barrels to 129.4 million barrels, and were in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.
Analysts surveyed by Platts forecast gasoline stocks rose by 1.2 million barrels and distillate supplies fell by 550,000 barrels.
U.S. refineries operated at 87.8% of their operable capacity last week, down 1% from the previous week\'s 88.8%, EIA reported.
In a separate report released at the same time, the American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude inventories fell by 8.5 million barrels to 297.5 million barrels in the week ending Dec. 14, according to Moody\'s Economy.com.
Distillate stocks fell by 1.9 million barrels to 131.7 million barrels in the same period, while gasoline stocks rose by 2.9 million barrels to 208.4 million barrels, the API reported.
Also on Nymex on Wednesday, January reformulated gasoline gained 2.76 cents at $2.3319 a gallon and January heating oil edged up 4.25 cent at $2.5979 a gallon.
January natural gas rose 3.8 cents at $7.179 per million British thermal units.
EIA will report U.S. natural gas inventories on Thursday. Analysts at research firm Global Insight are expecting inventories to have dropped by 129 billion cubic feet in the week ending Dec. 14.
Moming Zhou is a MarketWatch reporter, based in San Francisco.
Polya Lesova is a MarketWatch reporter based in New York.
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