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Iamreallyhappy.
Imentionedscssinmyblogstodayandyesterday,onJR98\'sgroup:中長期投資weeksago.Iwastryingtobuynear70cents,butfinallycaughtupwithittodayat0.9.Lateisbetterthannever.
IfyoucalculatedSCSS\'sP/S,(Price/Sale),itissolow.[閱讀全文]
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ucbhisalittleweakerthanIimagined.interesting.Setanordertobuyscssat0.95,filledat0.9,cool,happy.[閱讀全文]
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normalinsuranceproductsareagainstnaturalevents,likeflood,fire,death..CDSisaproductagainstartificial(manmade)event,financialdefault.Onlyartificialeventwillexhibitconcentratedrisk,meaningdefaulthappenacrossitsdomain,sincehumanisananimalofsociety,ithasitsheardmentality,tendtodothingsallatthesametime.So,thatiswhyIsayCDSisnotaspecialtyforAIG,butforGS.[閱讀全文]
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(2009-07-23 09:12:29)
IhavebeenwaitingforXLtocorrect,butitrefused.Whenastockwentasurprisingwayagainstyourplan,youreallyneedtopayattention,somethingunusualishappening,itmaybeagoodopportunity.SoIdecidetobuymorexlontoday\'sbreakoutwithbigvolume.Anothermoreimportantreasonisthatxl\'sbookvalueisaround20,thereisplentyofroomforupside.ButIwilljusttradeitforshorttermsinceIhavealreadyhavexl.Myoriginalxlwasboughtaround3,upmorethan...[閱讀全文]
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(2009-07-22 11:10:39)
reasons:
1.InsiderswerebuyingonFeb,March,Aprilthisyear,IbelievethatitshowsUCBHwerestillOKattheheightoffinancialcrisis.
2.UCBHwerepayingoutdividendsasrecentlyas6/26/09.Thisshowssomekindoffinancialstrength.
3.UCBHgotnewcapitalinfusionof$30millionfromChinaMinshengBankon12/23/08,and$298.7millionfromTreasuryon11/14/08.
4.Recentrallyofcapitalmarketmay/shouldimproveUCBH'sbook,reducingth...[閱讀全文]
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那樣強大,美國也沒有你說的那樣虛弱。我們在這是討論投資,是真槍實彈的幹,不是寫文章,要看實質,做股票,看經濟是要看核心競爭力的。我看好中國的未來,但是現在的情形,和美國比,還差得很遠,你一定要自我膨脹,我也沒辦法,我覺得你這樣才是“器小易盈”。另外,中國的經濟係統風險挺大。我不知你聽沒聽過這樣一句話,“一放就亂,一抓就死”,這是中[閱讀全文]
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(2009-07-16 08:50:52)
finally,Icaughtupwithmbi,nexttimeremembertoactquickly,donothesitatetoomuch.Ihavebeenraisingmybuypricefrom3.56,to3.91,totoday\'s4.01,atiringstruggle.
Iamnotsureifthisnewlotofsharesareforlongtermorshortterm.Iamstillalittleworriedaboutmunibonds.Therearealotofgrowthsmallcapoutthereworthlongtermholding.[閱讀全文]
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substantialmoreseveraldaysagoat2.11afterinitial200sharesat2.01.IthinkIamfinallyalittlebetteratbuyingontherightsideofcure.Averagingdownatleftsideofcurveissopainful.Iwilltrytoavoidit.
Ontheotherhand,mbi\'srecentlowisat3.57,justonecentawayfrommybuyorderat3.56.Iamthinkingifandhowtochaseit.Ithinkpeopleincludingmeareallworriedaboutstates,citiesdefaultontheirmunibond,isrecentCAIOUissuanceindicatesthe...[閱讀全文]
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Iwillbefollowingitcarefully,Ithinkitwon\'tdropunder15,soIwillbuybackstartingabove15.Itdependsonthemarketconditionsthattime.[閱讀全文]
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Isetanordertobuymbiat3.56.Ifthereisapanictomorrow,Imaybeabletogetit.ItisgoodforbothshortandlongtimeatthispricelevelifIgetit.[閱讀全文]
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