博文
(2008-10-15 15:47:20)
Evenaftertoday\'sdrop,GOOGistradingat$340/share,orover$100Bmarketcap,ormorethan5timesofits2007revenueprojection.
WhatevevranalystssayaboutGOOG,thisisaMEDIAcompanywhichdependsheavilyonconsumerspending.Bycomparison,Disneyistradingcloseto1xofitsrevenue.Forgetaboutearningpershare,thatisoftendeceiving.Askyourself:canyoujustifyacompanytradingmorethan5xofitsrevenue?
Afairpriceforamediacompany,and...[阅读全文]
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Thewaythismarketisfallingfast,weshouldexpectFEDtocometothegameanytimefromnow.Ifmarkethasanother500pointsdropinDOW,watchforFED\'saction.
Itisdangeroustimeforbothshortsandlongs,sinceunexpectediscomingtoplay.ThatmayexplainwhyGoldman\'shedgefundslostbigevenwithsuperiorcomputermodels.
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Thatmaysuggestsomebigmoveahead:eitherupbigordownbig.[阅读全文]
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