博文
(2008-03-06 19:50:39)
IsawsomeonewasaccumulatingBEASputs-5000on2/29,5000on3/5,andanother4000today(Jun17.5put)-doesthismeanthatORCL/BEASmergerwillactuallynotgothrough?Ifthatisthecase,BEASwilldroplikearock.
Ontheotherhand,ORCLwasstrongtodayduetoanupgradeandgoodoutlookfromCEO-hugeblockofcallbuyingon3/4(Sep21call).這小子賭ER呢。
Let'swatchhowthesetwowillplayout.[閱讀全文]
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(2008-03-04 13:18:23)

開盤前的感覺還不錯,唯一有點遺憾沒有收到開盤價上。。。每個trader都在看著一月的底-market就是跟你對著幹,哈哈。Wewilllikelyseeasmallrallyto0.5retracementor5-dayma.
PutGGandcalledXLUtoday-waitingtoputXLYifitpopstothegapabove.
IYTlookslikeagoodswingtarget-chooseFDXifyouwanttoplayindividualstockwithhigherreturn.FREwilldropbelow20byApril.
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(2008-03-04 07:53:12)
XLUisnotgivingmeachance-stillwaitingforanentry.Itissuperstrongtoday,Iguessbigmoneyisneverwrong.
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Maxpainofindices-DIAdroppedto126andSPYdroppedto139(stillbullish?).FinancialsXLFandhomebuildersXHBlookedterrible,probablywillhaveasmallbouncefromlowerBBbeforedivingtoJanlows.RealestateIYRheldupreasonablywell-butitishardtotrustthatitwillhavemuchupsideroom. Ingeneral,Ifeeltherewillbeanothershoedroppinglaterthisweek.Ontheotherhand,today'sdoji*may*indicateashort-termrally,soIplantolong(foraquicktr...[閱讀全文]
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(2008-03-03 20:58:10)

Ifclosebelow1320today-itlookslikeadoubletopandthesellingwillacceleratesincethenecklineisbroken.IfSPXpenetrades1320butinversestoclosehighertoday,willweseeanotherinverserallyafterbreakingone-monthlow(firsttarget5maaround1355)?Beprepared.
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(2008-02-22 15:51:31)

Cudostosnowboy.
看看這個TAPattern這次能不能workout.Iwillnotreadtoomuchintoit,willwatchthepriceactioncloselynextweek.
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(2008-02-22 13:33:52)


Closedmostoflongpositionsinthemorningpop,nicegainswithMTLwithso-soperformanceonotherpositions.NowonlyhasafewlongcallsonEXPEandERTS-puregambling.StillholdingstraddlesonSMH.
ThereasontoreducepositionswasthatIdidnotthink1340willhold-turnsouttobetrue.但盤尾拉的壯觀!靠,俺1322的籃子啥也沒接著,怒。MM歹毒啊,1327就掉頭飛了,幾分鍾就拉的讓人不敢追!MTL還弄新高,俺嚴重踏空還把資格弄丟了!說是s...[閱讀全文]
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(2008-02-21 14:00:49)

Forgetaboutthetriangle,weareinabox-fornow.
DBAmadeyetanotherrecordhigh,buthowlongcanitholdon?
Metalandmininghadamassiveselloff,completelyerasedyesterday'sgains.Hasthissectortopped?BetterwatchoutformyMTL.
Energysector,particularlyoil,alsohadaselloff.ATWisindanger.Traderswerebusytakingprofits(whocanreallyblamethemgivensuchanedgymarket).NotethatNGSwasprettystrongthough.
Wedoneedtore...[閱讀全文]
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(2008-02-20 13:06:43)


太衝動太衝動,把兩邊都捅破了!NND,不得不佩服MM的想象力。畫線線的一定要注意fakebreakout,沒有confirm不要入場,開盤gapdown通常是MM用來進貨的,gapup通常是MM用來出貨的。swingtrader追breakout一定要讓它站穩幾個小時,除非泥是DT並有嚴格止損。
傳統意義上講在大盤底部尾盤跳水是震倉,後市看好。現在靈不靈走著瞧。SPX突破三角上沿,並回測趨勢線(成不成功明天再[閱讀全文]
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EEVbrokedownimportantsupport@80,thoughvolumewasnotimpressivetoday.If80becomesresistance,emergingmarketwillbequitebullish.如果EmergingMarket走牛市,美國股市怎麽會走熊呢?
關注今天的突破明天能否確認,還是一個bulltrap.明天又是一場血戰。計劃買入SDSifSPXlowertrendlineisbroken.
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