Deaths, Rubble, And Evacuations As Surreal Peace Talks Take Place
By:Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
Chernivtsi This past weekend,the Russians launched relentless, merciless attacks on the Ukrainian civilian population. As of this writing, Russian air forces aretargeting Kharkiv for the seventh time in three days. From Saturday to Monday, they struck the city center,intentionally killing dozens of civilians(the youngest was a six-month-old baby) and at least six times its energy infrastructure.
Russian strikes did not spare the capital,Kyiv, which was hit by a staggering number of drones and missiles in its most densely populated neighborhoods, nor the Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk regions within a 200-kilometer radius of the frontline. Against these already devastated areas,the Russian Armed Forces have launched dozens of ground offensives, supported by North Korean artillery fire and Chinese drones.
Ukrainian authorities haveannouncedtheforced evacuation of 58 settlements to save at least 3,000 children: 651 from four villages in Zaporizhia and 2,463 from 40 in Dnipropetrovsk. This is in addition to themandatory evacuation orderissuedon December 30 for 14 settlements in Chernihiv Oblast, which has been completed in three of them and is still underway in the other 11. In total,accordingto Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Oleksij Kuleba,approximately 150,000 civilians have already been evacuated from areas near the front line to safer locations over the past six months. Among them, nearly 18,000 were children and over 5,000 people with reduced mobility. In one of the videos Alla Perdei and I recently recorded for this newspaper from the hardest-hit areas of Chernihiv Oblast, you can see some of the more than 80,000 temporary shelters built by the Ukrainian civil engineering department to house internally displaced persons. To coordinate this process, 17 operational transit centers have been established, where displaced persons receive medical, psychological, legal, and social assistance, as well as support for document restoration and payment processing.
As Alla and I experienced firsthand when the same fate befell the house we lived in in Sumy Oblast,their homes will soon be engulfed by Russian fire, then occupied, and finally razed to the ground in an attempt to liberate those territories.
Unfortunately, thepredictionsI made on thesepageson December 10 last year have come true with mathematical precision:in 2025, the Russians will have launched exactly 55,000 high-explosive drones against Ukraine, five times more than the previous year.
This demonstrates thatsanctions should not be loosened but tightened further, asthe Russian regime continues to have sufficient resources to produce or purchase more artillery shells, drones, and other missiles than it fires.
All of this, at the dawn of the 13th year of war and the fifth full-scale war, is simplyintolerable. In the 2025ranking, the Russian Federations nominal GDP is comparable to Italys. The European Union economy is approximately 8.3 times larger than Russias, and the American economy is a whopping 12 times larger.
Inevitably, the final question these people on the run are asking is this:
How is it possible that in 2026 that is, after sanctions imposed in some cases as early as 12 years ago an economy only a tiny fraction of the size of the European and American economies continues to support a war, industrial, and economic effort of such proportions?
The answer can only be political, even before it is economic.It is the direct result of sanctions being circumvented, of financial flows that continue to move through opaque triangulations, of energy exports (even to the EU) that although reduced still generate billions in revenue, and of a total reconversion of the Russian economy into a war economy, in which every ruble stolen from the populations well-being is transformed into steel, explosives, and death. A predatory model that produces not development but destruction; not growth but annihilation.
These people forced to flee are wondering how much longer they should believe the apparent signs of Russian structural failure.
The most honest comparison is not between state budgets or macroeconomic curves. It is between what Russia produces and what it leaves behind. On one side, missiles, drones, and glide bombs in ever-increasing numbers. On the other,hundreds of thousands of internally displaced persons, tens of thousands of children uprooted from their homes, cities emptied and razed, entire regions transformed into permanent evacuation zones.
The Russian economy, which manages to finance arms production faster than the West can stop it,is the same one that has produced millions of shattered lives, broken families, and a country forced to build tens of thousands of temporary shelters just to contain a permanent humanitarian emergency.
2025 ended (un)talking about peace. If with all its limitations the European Union did not exist, Ukraine would be alone today: militarily and economically abandoned. The delusional peace plandraftedby Moscow andendorsedby Washington evencallsfor easing sanctions against Russia. A thing the United States has already begun toimplement.
Butif all this is still possible in 2026, the problem isnt just Russia.
The problem is what Europe and the West continue to tolerate. Every additional missile produced in Moscow means one fewer home in Ukraine, one more child on an evacuation bus, another slice of the future erased. This is no longer a question of numbers. Itsa historic responsibility.
死亡、瓦礫和撤離，超現實的和平談判正在進行中
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
翻譯：旺財球球
烏克蘭前線報道????????
切爾諾夫茨上周末，俄羅斯對烏克蘭平民發起了無情、殘酷的攻擊。到目前為止，俄羅斯空軍已經在三天內第七次轟炸哈爾科夫。從周六到周一，他們襲擊了市中心，故意殺害了數十名平民（最小的年僅六個月大），並至少六次打擊了城市的能源基礎設施。
俄羅斯的攻擊並沒有放過首都基輔，最密集的居民區遭到了數量驚人的無人機和導彈的襲擊；在前線200公裏範圍內的頓巴斯、紮波羅熱和第聶伯羅彼得羅夫斯克地區也未能幸免。在這些已經受到嚴重破壞的地區，俄羅斯武裝部隊在朝鮮大炮火力和中國無人機的支持下，發起了數十次地麵進攻。
（圖：Alla在哈爾科夫市中心被俄羅斯聯邦摧毀的一棟建築的屋頂上報道版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
烏克蘭當局已宣布強製撤離58個居民點，以拯救至少3,000名兒童：651名來自紮波羅熱的四個村莊，2,463名來自第聶伯羅彼得羅夫斯克的40個居民點。這是繼12月30日針對切爾尼戈夫州14個居民點發出的強製撤離令之後的最新舉措，目前在其中三個居民點已完成撤離，其餘11個仍在進行中。烏克蘭副總理奧列克西庫列巴表示，過去六個月，約有150,000名平民已從前線附近的地區撤離到更安全的地方，其中近18,000名是兒童，超過5,000人行動不便。在我和阿拉佩爾代最近在切爾尼希夫州受災最嚴重的地區為本報拍攝的一段視頻中，可以看到烏克蘭土木工程部門為安置國內流離失所者所建的超過80,000個臨時避難所。為協調這一過程，已經建立了17個運營過渡中心，流離失所者在這裏可以獲得醫療、心理、法律和社會援助，以及文件恢複和支付處理的支持。
正如我和阿拉親身經曆的那樣，我們在蘇梅州生活的房屋也遭遇了同樣的命運，他們的家園很快將被俄軍的火焰吞沒，之後被占領，最終被夷為平地，以試圖解放那些地區。
不幸的是，我去年12月10日在本刊上做出的預測以數學精確度變為現實：2025年，俄羅斯將發射恰好55,000架高爆無人機攻擊烏克蘭，數量是前一年的五倍。
（圖片來源：TopLeadEU）
這表明，製裁不應放鬆，而應該進一步加強，因為俄羅斯政權仍然擁有足夠的資源來生產或購買比其發射的更多的炮彈、無人機和其他導彈。
這一切在戰爭的第13個年頭和第五年全麵戰爭即將到來之際，簡直不可容忍。在2025年的排名中，俄羅斯聯邦名義上的GDP與意大利相當。歐盟經濟規模約為俄羅斯的8.3倍，而美國經濟更是達到了驚人的12倍。
不可避免地，這些流亡者最終的疑問是：
在2026年也就是說，在某些情況下，製裁早在12年前就已經實施一個經濟規模僅相當於歐洲和美國的微不足道一部分的經濟體，如何能夠繼續支撐如此巨大規模的戰爭、工業和經濟努力？
答案隻能是政治層麵的，甚至在經濟層麵之前。這是製裁被規避的直接結果，金融流動通過不透明的三角交易持續進行，是即使減少，但仍然產生數十億收入的能源出口（甚至對歐盟），以及俄羅斯經濟完全轉型為戰爭經濟的結果。在這種經濟中，從民眾福祉中竊取的每一盧布都被轉化為鋼鐵、炸藥和死亡。這是一種掠奪性模式，所產生的不是發展，而是毀滅；不是增長，而是消亡。
這些被迫逃離的人們在想，自己還要相信俄羅斯結構性潰敗的明顯跡象多久。
（圖片來源：Worldometers）
最誠實的比較並不在於國家預算或宏觀經濟曲線之間，而是在於俄羅斯所生產的與它所留下的之間。一方麵是數量不斷增加的導彈、無人機和滑翔炸彈，另一方麵是數十萬名流離失所者、數以萬計被迫離開家園的兒童、被清空並夷為平地的城市、以及轉變為永久撤離區的整個地區。
俄羅斯經濟對武器生產的融資速度遠快於西方對其阻止的速度，這個經濟體還同時造成了數以百萬破碎的生命、支離破碎的家庭，以及一個被迫建造數萬個臨時避難所，以應對持續的人道主義危機的國家。
（圖：俄羅斯攻擊了烏克蘭哈爾科夫一個幼兒園，我在現場拍了這張照片版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
2025年以（不）談及和平而結束。如果沒有歐盟，盡管存在各種局限，烏克蘭今天將會孤立無援，軍事和經濟上被遺棄。莫斯科起草、華盛頓支持的妄想和平計劃竟然還要求放鬆對俄羅斯的製裁，而美國已經開始付諸實施。
但如果在2026年這一切仍然可能，問題就不僅僅在於俄羅斯。
問題在於歐洲和西方繼續容忍的事情。莫斯科生產的每一枚額外導彈意味著烏克蘭少一個家庭，意味著撤離的巴士上多一個孩子，意味著又一部分未來被抹去。這已經不再是數字問題，而是一種曆史責任。
（圖：是的，特朗普先生。這是我們這半球的事圖片來源：美國關於X的國務院）
衷心感謝那些支持我們籌款活動的人
????????致所有相信我們工作並願意支持它的人????????????
在過去三年裏，作為自由撰稿人，我們一直在烏克蘭戰爭的所有前線進行報道，自從大規模
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