Riding the waves of markets
Just a collection of my ideas about US and China stock markets. Let's ride the waves of the markets to financial freedom!
博文
(2009-06-26 15:06:00)
上證六月二十六日小漲收2928點.K線繼昨天後再收十字星,交易量再縮小,代表大盤在等待觀望.可能是等下周IPO的反響.那就以不變應萬變吧.2950仍是壓力,希望IPO及全球股市的轉強可發力衝破.反正不跌破2860,短期趨勢不變.[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-26 15:04:43)
Onthesurface,marketlookedquiettodaybesidesthebignoisemadebyNasdaq.It'sapositivesignafteryesterday'sadvance.Nasdaqcontinuedyesterday'ssurgewithamodestgain,but/whugevol.Techwillkeepleadingthebroadmarketinshort-term.S&Pwasdoingok,butthefinerdetailresidedinthefactthatittestedyesterday'sbreakout,sobullwillflexitsmusclefromthispointon.DJwasabitlackluster.But2outof3indicesshowedupsidepotentials,thenw...[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-25 16:51:07)
Itlookslikeresistanceat2950isstillhardtobeat.Markettried2timesinthelast3sessions,butstillgotpushedbackdown.I'llbeonthewatchoutforanyeasinginthemomentumandanypossiblepull-back.Buttheuptrendisstillstrongandintact.
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(2009-06-25 16:27:11)
Marketralliedprettystronglytoday.S&P,Nasdaq&DJallhadareversalday.ExpectNasdaqtoleadthemarketagain.Lastseveraldaysofdownwardmovementisreversed.USmarketisshowingearlysignsofmomentumtostartanotherpossibleuptrend.Istartedgettingbackintothemarketwith5%positiontoday.Willcontinuebuildinguppositionsifmarketmovesintherightdirection.Whenthetimeisright,itdoesn'ttakememuchtimetopullthetriggerfor100%po...[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-24 15:20:28)
有壇友問A股會不會過3000,或到多少點.我不會紫微鬥數,怎麽知道呢?或許這裏的高人指點一下?
不過話說回來,我用以下的幾種分析來講一下,大家當八卦新聞娛樂就好了:
1.A股合理價位.08GDP=30萬億元,08/12/31日總市值=12萬億元,收1820點.合理價位=GDP/總市值*收盤價=30/12*1820=4550.
照6月24日收盤價2922,A股仍是undervalue.曆史顯示GDP/總市值[閱讀全文]
不過話說回來,我用以下的幾種分析來講一下,大家當八卦新聞娛樂就好了:
1.A股合理價位.08GDP=30萬億元,08/12/31日總市值=12萬億元,收1820點.合理價位=GDP/總市值*收盤價=30/12*1820=4550.
照6月24日收盤價2922,A股仍是undervalue.曆史顯示GDP/總市值[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-22 14:32:50)
上證六月二十二日小漲收2896點.K線收十字星,為高位十字星,有回調可能.全球股市都在修正,A股恐怕難置身事外.不過我們會密切注意的.[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-22 14:08:54)
Today'sdropwasthecontinuationofthecorrectioninbullmarket.ThenextsupportlevelforS&Pisaround874-887.It'ssupposedtobeastrongsupportbecauseit'sanareawhere季線andpreviousconsolidationsmeet.Ifmarketcandropbelowthat,thenbullwillbeindeeptrouble.LastFridayIclearedoutallmypositionsbecauseallsignalsweretellingmetobail.Sorry,Iwastoobusytoupdatemyblog.Anyway,I'llwaitonthesidelinepatientlytillthiscorrection...[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-18 13:51:33)
上證六月十八日繼續放量大漲收2853點.我們已建了50%的倉位,會看大盤走勢加碼.在全球股市都下跌時,A股卻一支獨秀創新高,看來重開IPO吸引了外資入市.不過股市通常利多出盡就是最大的利空,要小心月底前IPO潮的獲利回吐.[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-18 13:26:10)
DJ&S&Pralliedabittoday.Marketcommentariesclaimedthatit'satechnicalrebound.Agreed.Butthethingthatmakesmeuncomfortableisthatmarketleadersarealldefensivesectors:healthcare,consumerstaples&utilities.SoItooktheopportunitytoreducemypositionsdownto15%,leavingwithmostlyindexETFs.Marketwillprobablyconsolidateforsometimetofindthedirection.I'llclearallthepositionsifthedowntrendcontinues.[閱讀全文]
(2009-06-17 14:07:50)
Thesell-offinbroadmarketeasedabittoday.Nasdaqevenmadeasmallgain.S&Pwasintheworstshapeofthe3majorindices:itbrokethesupportof919yesterday.TomorrowisRIMM'searningreleaseday.It'dbeinterestingtoseehowitdidinthepastquartertoshedsomelightintothestrengthofhigh-endtechdevicesintherecessionrecovery.It'sbeendroppingthelast4consecutivesessions.Butanyearningsurprisewillsetthestockonfire.Confession:Ihave12%...[閱讀全文]
