兔子回歸,甜鴨子喜不自勝。德國哲學家路德維希·維特根斯坦用這張圖說明兩種不同看的方式。
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illusion](data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAARQAAACvCAMAAAAL1NFJAAAAk1BMVEX////+/v79/f0hISEgICDs7OwkJCTq6uru7u729vYdHR0nJyf4+Pj09PQAAADl5eXc3NwSEhIXFxcLCwstLS3h4eEUFBTKysrT09PZ2dkzMzM7Ozs2NjbPz89DQ0M6OjpLS0tJSUlTU1NXV1eqqqp1dXWampqOjo5oaGiCgoK0tLS/v7+EhIR4eHihoaGrq6tjY2NmCkFPAAAgAElEQVR4nN1dCVvbyrKUNJpF0gwjy5JteceELQSS///rXlWPBOScnLu8m+9eOIKAsY2DSt3V1cuMs+zDH8XrV/zL8+nOnD9u1pu1fB54K33g5rjZ8Dk5n8/PfHqNv9VR8Nx8ujV/JEAa1TSmV33TNGVvTMND9UZtcIzpN/Pp1/5WB0/K81sx4zHZBzAwBIUolOumNw1B6lWjysYo0wAXeX4uZvW3OvIizz2+TojkBMQoZUz67NeGqGw2a5gM7ukbc9iM8lDZtJtNm2D5u1lK5gsaiVAEucOYOuHR8LNs1v0ahrEGLJsN7GQNgGgmxAqPt6OA+TczFbnM8ACS6GFdloCE/gFrKWk0cBplVLNZw0YOgGnTqHEjlAJzgluZTTsORf63Q4UehNNXpSpL+g2+HHjSjalNXzbkjgOs5Al8C9zU5jBugA1ZpYQhlcaMY/v3AwWIwERqoLI2NA9hUJgKObZZN+tNEULlNuteAYtNE0KAvQCPehhhKiPspwUsn/mQ6DmLEX4e1oeaJlIbfCKuwATWWXAwFhIIgDFr53rd2HEzblzvdXPYtJsWntTW+N7idxSgaSdm+ZyapZhxEe1FSGAjZblZ12UzBePNxhmfHWogdBiBDkJz5bxFNG7qsmpa1SD+mHYzNu04KhwNItGQJcIuJsnzyY5ZvFKgrVVd1nXN8MKwU4JVVWOedKULAeOAMw0uaKfhPxvnK2cCnjmCX4FL2ZZmgGlFvEY7DMlI8s8n5nKBBDoURkJI6prsWtabuj6AQBBO1qVZj8plekO+xbO1a3rdHxh0imwc4UawlKaEvVDb1bFtasZvFdshFpOxfLIjhWBSSVer9QGBBSTLnOaAG7j6EColxGtVucbx2T7zRpIe2s14GKlOYE+JX8ElDYM4Phm2yiGm/+STadxCPB5W0tWmrtdgEkSeEgoF5w2RYvhJsead1xXpociqgxE5S9I1GxgI/wEXcMvQqrJu2hY8DdHS1yWNJVnjJzsKgYSHYiAGNiV9SGKxaLjDejw4A0MpEiOLHwEKSjeKOfBqCXFSqryt+xb2NQygmWjqHjInxnfx7bMcDMLAYy2oAJ1NLfEGX8QqrNfg1QpBuQp8tsY9rgkqJcYHhpySDAt+HQAMeARa3zSxVWYAt8D14hA/C6u8Vk1gB3XZ1TCV7tBBoCAG6zI4RCGNh50pHSjDSZWExRLXNE4TkA1wAb9Cv1LJ0ntGkiwESxSfg7HUMCHq3DiwovCTvXxQy8k9SZP8SkQ2oFkxmM5sLBgSDOIrsEHQIdhCB55FpYNbw9UOPbOesm9gLYdBGYg2kOxQtkIrKpJWaqXKSJXbM7LHwaa4nJNx8w+KyKReIUwWHTRFV3bCKiXZdu0Uzl4eh8+44KwL8hOMBCzS9M1aLKWE8DftAclQi2DcOg8V1wOVOgIYug3sh7zS446asMzB+eOCIqF4QyjEUhBuqNpGni1wqIPURVxT6wDZXsGowC1OBwRiZEG4/GYzgk8UFRscBzbSjn4ASzewGpAJHhgitItq+p6lFmWszd+JuI+JSyqpAZGOuNQdFQp0ihfqAACSuYBUPVUrKRaKrXESkaQGmQLP2FK6wZWg7UEiER6kYmyGaFiOwz34hsesRjplE98WH5l0i81hPUMCLjk42Ep9ENtG2IGst9YLt04Vp8PIgjUsBKqkHPENeY6huqsRbca2jbhdlEAE2DSIyQ3YZjD0nwaBnpLG2jkL+ph2kpFO6DbM+NaJYzerkix6iLATRF2co076X8oJ4xr2wVp1LTWWZsMkGdEFyFDJmjC0Q+sNZFsDmm2aiPRxaMg7zZa59amva6cTq+QfFpZ1t+g6AAI84EZAg4kPrulauVBDjTgXYCmZ056etIbzGCnMknUo7mkkm7ZtYRAIQEUbGYGaCNTwkELEUfiBFSr40X63O+76WjGP9CJw/4kPpQhepC/T7VSJYL9gulC/T/3IVQLDSiher0izq/pwqNNhoPK9g2DLqtI5XtnQMBBtNmZ9YCkFugMRiLmgYTm73Yj/QLu1rKKAXCOBIcUyIzJRRduUZb+93p12PbSy0e5fOJdi+rQJxWyGZjIzyU1+Z8kzvTbQWHQrfJBpR0HokITtZmPFNhCClAkwFIRnG9awEziQOYwbuIZpfQDDttLbGAcFG0DgwXdQSZSgQ+WmVR2N5SdQOcHS9n3fQBLqf6GUkE+YLK+uYLI2htfnF5PxZL83o2LUOSxWK/oOSXa9dp00+TbMacCxyrFgYiwzwGBc7pkrp3bgaEfxHvxpHs4zsOIGMxliC4KFrIX3RH4ByyLmxD430RrlIFZgVv3xdOzL0uX5P1MqcuKQAEs5rpZLWIy2Ls/eWU3+G4tX9Nb1arGC2yzqbgGaHfPKVa9VsiIvbNAs4iMnznwIOgtBOoEGNNur0oNgoVFCQMShLIFAyXzZtIg7XQMrYcgBy+IVnCqUBWglUua6tiX5tu9pKv/0bKi2LdG4urpK/3ATrhSss5n8kb+3HMF2DiiWNAszWcBSMlu7jBEH/6t1GuiEQHWSe9YUELmnjvFapB1bPKreAI16NECE6U4NyTaUDeMNW6q1tSLcgrIwGVfiYJUFjAJHqk10/5QOcM6RNmKXsJYFjUUAIj7wJv9Kv78LE8Sd9WIFSGAsoJb6sCkKYOFqJ0W32idqz3OgAI+RFtjUNd70IlMk6lQjGGWKznCfAbEGbBJxUNaaMjoVqe9BuLXWuN3DchTMBXRr3T/FJHcWoDi9tBZAwHUEEa35FfdFp63+fekCXumw6hb1StRsvVgdNBy2AiJIcciq1RTrpHncrFnAV4w5RKgcD/Achhn4DuLu0CojpUcEYeJBU4mWZAJZz+gD83A1Fa0xW8OAD3OBnWn7z/5MrQGJ9bbS/Ffl8hUfXuNOvUwmo38bKDCUjoayQPyp12W30TUgscHxSwA+WlPJFsRkreAsVG3NGj9sxtJQs1Hds2Zv5F9LIwCNQMgNihwbpSyH7Mdq6FkNULQpNRgFtgKxr7YI3vovziefskXrwK3VT0ol1R7gTzZYPEyTsbAgWl2K1FOFr3h1rTx7d/9fNHOLFNoPxASxR/wHHoRYfAAgGhfDObAjrrr4PNAAgSiZR2mkUyx+RP3ByjaDDqtLiL5xhD5hRZaIONbhIuCAcTQWr6vpliBbgKJqdh17hCAT38TtH/9KMKgOyys/d6QmgZJLLIA+uLryCA0AJFEN/IgovT5pxsS/z7L8+/bWL471YoHYszosmR2nuIzEB/SFSwPbBC5IUhCUD4dNxhED+WQZe8PMhzDwtJOhsEuKDAdsMkh8YipIGomNdJzhK9JMhakoxOK6NLpu+pOBzZSghF/lhsl34R9WT/Isn2u8U2vNw8szTTOBB5Fr5GCEcDZNPIi8m4paqZswzRH9GZQJrA1AoamweE9YulSLhIwrSzAKjNNbkkQELg5Q4FQVJ3Q4iIIzxfXGQUzYVoYjRMUyAY7BxsHBOiKehX8OGp+pQc0MmcXf0pbgWbU97kv2pEv7i4mNNAFC50Finq76HL0943Q+m5eHiCKzaPIxCDghg+sarZuGJuCIxWSLxVt6/ieNJI/AQlaAZcGsZ01UFPBgrR68BUs3sBn6hpPKQINsh6Mois4DozdEhG5Ut4iyPTI9aBCgBlOJTVG6ssFfZRxig2NpDiwMvwG99LUuwS2AWm2RGVpmzjSFX9kz4g7C8FSS8jRhEEc+D4+9olQUPvoAE7kSepktZsmQzd+ZIlw+NSjzX2ujokhlJSLSLQ5dOlaUtOO6QAQKrpQ2OaMsrnRQjWM7zKzH3lB10QVw8Q1DCI1nu+fohfQ5xIPAqzraaHsDgzCIPiUCGnWuZayvgQv+wX22+HG7LWvg90dRSlHGaw97lStbxCRp8VMM1k1UmSffYB7gEZwYs11E5CQwk83gwN8DaJLEmwrSP1+D2VBzSJQl1AmNhZnPCo6zgc4f2eOB4/ClNa8yGMH2sJOefpNkSmmk5ga9PiAzrut+u4UpRELEWMyWINR931h25bWhAWmwU93DcyDn6EOOHVlYHYA5gXUBy58unU76ZM5vClwquApolNbjU96EHMS+Jo0wgej1lWYJGaEzutlo7FIEjl6zHLJe/zp/BO7rA2UbQg9YhQG5Q2RhcbZj6WC9yVzpPAmS6gsn3KwTy6aZP/hSI3OA0CclA4/Zbk1nEhqAptGWN6Bat4rqBUYPW+EAWANpX7tOCsBRI92CgmsofP+kVwrnIF+RdUz6MV3KFHYifAKhxolF+DRxOHlVUVncYa8q2lnQ/NCvNnNIX9cEZ/2rYwlIlsBktZBiSpdwYXqM67jBFWGlunIKvgSNFHqO/wEfsQMjs0owDyNaDUrF0IHMHkixw1GKQfUU9DjfxoGYEKSg3thh6xQ4xEG3wWx0pOIv+x0TotmS5SRBRTATrSeLL2AZzuVpsJBiThLEK9CFttNo6vxMfkJg2by60vJSFa6Jhia1h6v3h6QK/DIdiyVi8ZKMkkyFGmW9njFh4QA+KwYK5egazZJLw6pSco1Wyq39Hqgw+kCuwSu22z2kGLQHdayzDNWN08raBuwBAGoDIokQtaQiaRYgU7RdJMH0W6ASdbJqCbuMJ0sb/TyXSSCWeool+KOgZEXU4bRCzudTnRTUm8nbIgwIuDobK/gdiIYUdXi6ehJ7eUIofbqSFg1O+2rxlOwE3xebNbFh9NmsU4EWrrMSu9qEPLOlp5LENarWMtgnHMvCUosw0zcCyf6EuMMQC4UPXsE50yb6qOkUSeJxiEOBdtmJdbrjOBweq3kTgHSWeAFi1elZWeQ4GVwzLcybMzOlQYh+mssveYgVzCWCWwL9y1/RYCwDTmCMollRwOCTr+Z8kQT8Zv1ETPAb66s1eWad6hHL9XK9Wq4PI9JdmgpU7VqSnzXbPvjT686s+f8A9hpE5pD69IlYWEFjn2vDAQswBLh2ezz1sH2Wqvt9z/OjNokIxQg3FhaF85WAYzTCTb1iw7ADvTIc0b2AFf9B8DNjlggERoUtw+LT2dlk3UgIF8IjQUu1gMZ05YVOClqK9h584hh96Fe4AzkKAhKSftIOnwGvze2ViF5nYSTk3zV9CGSyPAiVkm0l90FOCNaV0izJuSvV+pCBThBDHQR6cOuk6WklCtnOBimgzI7iZE1/PO62zIQjg5AMTCJ48UpxkFLRXnqIFpbxBfEOCECmTD8TLWdryZjx0KTfAMNqSRZdruIihsBzcJPfL5NuYZ0p2MLSsCLhQ74cBCn816zQCWcwRsHVrAOKFXlEF97GvHrjFSv1EJz1YZ1JhkwP3hwO3XrRiW9tarY4DptyvcGrQp1EACOz1SMBET4Zy6ZFCghAWpBnhB7dX0sdehgA0O60LaXf3OgGkDb1NLYAymnKDnGHDAuf0SuQK3wusmcoLbiaGsfGLJXZFleLBR1oaeHghAKQQLvR+pyIeNjSknkk1AexW16BWZcTdiLzgUsEHBkAslcCF4uHzovzvSYEAJZ5UVLH80gRv68haBfdAYEZXtRBcoNuHTUZiCOU7HkdDojIhpRiyk1TbrJxJDCqbaHr+9PlvIdgiWbAmSEGlRAfFLxs7rha8ijaRKcca+Fdh4Sz5peSZlOrBWCLkh/AeWkqSEbh0+CLhRAL/EbigtYxVZjmqiTcOs8rYLOMzAc1VB7uhqilW0lgcYVO/geaZQkToQsJC6Nb5VITOLwKAD9JwARNcRgRbIRV8Bcfahn2WyMKBxjRAQnQgVGYyTHTuVGx8TVkY1vXY2wVrH53OSISg1SQ2BiEaSTXSc/gz+GZQ65CY+JBHo3pYC227FaOsRhKxXYWUOEbzEY5Gq+GcWieGs5DS5gUtc4yrZaTd1KDk8yAREFqpRGRdZZSt2QOBKfRAtNV4HXRUnPRouyyn4p1jNrFe+1fJHg2SbSJUMFJmFJqBGtl0tqV9UFCj+E6BNjIUI8cT2I/pzbb3fX5BImP04OyL8vtjmK+SZFauYF/kC3KjiSA59SdRiwGCdQrQMJPHTvm2QjNoJZBU8culkEv5IDnAI8F4zONZoHztwRLfIj9bOeFgelMclei5St6koZMYX6IW1fLuJwSaF3hz2StQZhYgpoNRTFn4dk0cy+osPFTi5WU/HqgDJWEV6a2WHgTst20DUUXcWM0QhTeXc5HBB1lcXoZTAVhup6GvbRN/SM9l3uYVMV6EOZCYkSAahURimA+iEgsaoNU4DwLOwUeyQCFUyx1leUZJrLtlkCO4o42o6NLMSrZiSUaSysGEpmrSG1OirpXcfo+kwoDUJRSyfxHSqVBMqo1q28i4RgRyMYEhDMnLLRpTpY3mwNAKSUVZktLjt31hTRbshoL9Nn2YjdHLoIVYsR5dF0RcWWGmuTuOqQ5JXMd2Aaifz2UMBNW9xmA4PegCaAiboNXWDEQaaFboRSeqiXx8qXZeeCgjIRguJXLl1RzS6RtS2oJeyW1J7EQzVDMnJ24XEWBRPOTfyHD0NyrnBIjkAyrRps07MbhWfAknAbo5KwnBQ89uzEMQi0YVmTa9gSp1uxBKFuW35DjWRnQMQi/ZJJGy0jU4AaLZFmyHCfeCxUHWxnIJ0MExdqORFv3+/3ptNs79mZFbBMVl3woIbIgCDi5ZYJEwg7yJc1L4CUnkDvtMjCJlpSaGdJSkkJgSSHH38CvwYFcRSMBavzHn5Mr6VSgek0XZCyyPrDLtXkC+TIEjykZy0apO+Lg/An1LGQ5Ez+1PwKbstZIZzh8zMZxTej5B0PASdjhF6TSXSy6RGMwd/y0qqNCwFlZhLkOKtA0++MR7lOQUJIiIY/AsKVOzVBRWLlrzlTwxZJfeRKVOI+DDuGJsy8Et0Jw1qlVxLPXds4LXQZqEoygZMTlJAWST1yIZXiteeIPHtn5Was1zQSJ3WF8oqDjGkGu22DdFbqDxQKcQ1+WgwKvbkEaiBssIVkdVXS4hQumBA0jQ5bk7nqA0eR5XQv+MJ2O4SiuIiKxlPCQZEPmiHzjSHf0LBNAkPr8Xb1DaviSq84yV9CTi2BtYLGFud9yKdXs6VRZp3R6SgGTzyCLTgI3GQf+Xsh3eqPQt61mRPi5GRl8Si5lkXmtlP/VfSNToe3IprgywzCAhlmHB7NAosBOGIZrWTPmqMpUY6VtxJiCAAOJJ/0MSrO8TmWAyDAcQxzMANT6nVED0m4Vs4nppupqkUTVWwV+KtbDDT2LAgSGDkUBLOmRlbskhoNxcZrSA1nGK5f8iF+YS9FqbOojES+EMZKgAIqky0knv5gEHQcxEEvT4q/1BvRnxpGtHpZFyrGFTQyggJY2Q2Ys2SVnyY1VXcsYDRJmoa0UPa8pRnD6Cvq/TGEnT/VhsgngGuA5HBKk4fFLjHNRLNWdX0cviklRTOWhqbpaWfZ1XzMAMg4JN+qk8mSoAQ6kp4ijRa+QXKYDDoZ/lkl3akBCOLN+t0D6kIs0oumEgyzbKOcm+gEKzkyrAhUn2lpe+BJcyZjN9Jd9kOYEgmWWRRoDteCv0qwAUsdC1bEOizBew/Vxz1RIq+uiAMEiJLOQUDO5hBCuf+oX5pP0TlXmLHurm6RvE2yBDqVTSIZpLKckUlQ/ch0GYRlZoPJPAt9NGJGYxYGYMUUW9OiHGRs8uNE5qR24es3lKoCDFVfpjyo2Ajci7Ns4wpkCRXmUC21YW4V77Y7HZloUxGYRi0my/qOE+xASRBh4ko4/nW9ZZFEiD4AbDDIjlqDiu+cIdnmeTxW3WVX5bFYTfrYnZs0VK2HQdlJ4WS6uJoyQXJJ2KdgqaYJYqWXrKSLNEC0FHPofyFuk0qoWWSRVC18U9E0wGnUbzKfSnJwIHomQD1lVcgwUcCjwZoA0gozrT6cTm8KhdhxQMK5UeIDOA50Cu+pMF+zwUw2W178rC/GfgbZSKtuaiECe/fSsd0VmaVLkr1NM/u3xYmoE4OFUdEkcLCpY4ixthnw7teVn8eamTgi5KUqhW4Ck3YQVlLRMinbsx8AsA9iCQod1araOQ6iqylTAhUOBGQGx8DBHMmXk2LHKyo4fuMQ2TZSmIcBKxuLoHvGtXj7Zidg/FYwtEZqZG0bFafV3kEzsIQYx8+srDRdzAoeUd3oCL+xCwJiPK7EWESys0rGymzpEQrqsPaT4E6awLJFqyXR00bFxyhRAJAxHYkrjJClmLmm994EniXAUmFWqrG5q61SqQzc71uKZ8TomQKbUTtQfy21c+EFWgY55Pzb73gyKKM9WUaJ3ClDvnlPMkznS98lfx9+me1LAWUrSA/ufVG8SMvIIxK30VKUY66T6JLIllRf0q8VYhCcrD0iQx+uupMORxkVTZ5iVIhoV54hxYl1TVwWwqRrwQFAgSZUpzRo0kdqbWgcwK/UJZ6stvQcAlUyAY4SkHcAmiRLfAJnzIcYzEk8jveUhvp/Yx3NcSDmQlYsm9RROemnyS1K30G+wj040MCsMzIUWs6VMgUl0HJFYSl/IScyZA5Cmzr1KivNKsgcwirbdglo7SU8KLuVZbXCmorBmkS94jwBUwXJ9bYoCVuGswsVBHshs2WhGoprtUTYDySu1TFmwDWTEQYY46J96LUWSRyBsKn5kDiBbLot4exLjhpMcaLGQPiaPmqHFLZwU26D8qU4YOCPBWySVyy/s+UrTaKml9pJ8ydokUWgvlslQgiUmSSdZE5UwSxdu1dFeJBMPruD6FZgqnSk0xuNkEaF98BAYqWquS62S+zTiLAikBjqo1FKh5GCo7ZSVnnEKQkqk7bvAkqfWcQ6o4F1QPopTCKps7XsXS5kPDw1U2JGhKeAWMUrJ0WJKkCDeVgvGYgsu1ILBbC3Lyk3ReinZ4hWj0ZWdE0URblZKcXiOZAdSsJAr4Si7YQtko4qil5Uib403cBsYS1Mm4mc2rKUIbaS9VUsoRgLpOFDA24r0CcOI0jhVrFn2yBbhTe9dI+dcD0IyfpfIGdZfYnw/pgX659kuVlJbgX+srOa3Jb1lRsux+vIK0VKqDkvJsJfS61mKZIHbeJqKpiHgIzV8iMRbZ3XKApIOpKng/xef4pc0jsSPCpG4AiLsUvic44FgC8pWo0DHKmWpSiECOzaMFdm5lLFQohQ5fsIibYypYi2g+Em5FTnvjSzn1+nGfmt+Zlnxhi4lySuxkA4m08FXEB0SmdBkloIWRMhiyaaXWBFLuzw3uJXPRWq4ScFfTUFJ+vCW7uJ+krhXixSxJPgs9LRGrq59kAJfrzR8JhhVIfp4DgyUcF+OmDDVkaUZgAQEgtgMe6CXU34hBao5T6kH2guNgUM6cXB1/doTJ1N3JSI6FBvMQ2AD8vufQQkLejStISz43U2VBNhCRRpx4kkp5xdRGqRmSVaVVpmnWyyl1xJYmhSnYjFXik7LeUIBT5g7zgktHHjherGS8Uu6VlUiSZfiY+lSuQDCpFEpKYM6aWBTPG3WkxSjMCBSjAqcUED2oweBAuZUImVmi2zgqqeY8/55tjP3GWL7gEwwloY5I/vReO3hZ0uBTmDVILDB46hWpwZ7gEhLxcnErS7VcRcx1TCJVwaiLYih1tAcOFM8LbIFkCQq82KGsxTLEXQC/AjWxhJUSr6pbgVjpvnyNERk13ivSBW1TGFxbVfDrBzmZiwnERQuEOU8jKXUcB0bHcN5SYpgxwx+FHGqzJTdlG6GLEmxnDdrzvUgt0RyDE4pJS7/bCk+LldTxKrmsnt6IS9LxKHqC09UAAqtpXBhaRcunROJEXdGL1FbKgthDs9TsmiBe7KWuSdiXS4GJ5Ef7qNhALBlx2HyptHsgXFYS/mS1EdICsWmoGEdFmcMl2HvHHc4WTDJDzAsjJGmIwPEgJNJkrZcd5szE2SxiU7FxwJLkgjVJeIPnmZqWNcfhjGYzbOsFqbiu5ZK6tvYuYwYaFntiVQfEY2VObZGFlE4mFwkycw7SSfOxXrLVcoX9SvT8qZE66tEtdCCyAjlT+VyQa3ZHcW5BkSdNwU5aWu8EKfK2WJvZI0uzGtggJZ6ZDPooYmI4SVXVOK8YyoG1xleqYCOK1lhidGXwAe40KIAFX5CXP4DKD4Dr0JaOhG2MC8GBYGnkJHNWe16Efep/kIiIc341BMJMdWlNJs80gwDI+d65lvhEaQJ9n0MIh8D0C64bgXcSoACebaFcRbgWIW/xFSsXKSZqHnagbOeNmqWlPTAUjWcyYn0MkoCCgcvYqIWI+E5DjKf6KMU4VRNpRvFblJ+VLPVWJs/ju0UrpPCLIOHtErIJ6/dmte5x4yrPaeRUpsis8tJO7LaEVafkqZJLs5DcuQJGcGtOERGsyEdp0NYyq0W0rosa1+4lCvDkfHBvB1x4fXlUn0IQSjPIpMbxVDUc/TExQbeMlChwgIkIZQRYxZexDZqBhq4CxR9U7LaFvlFpfFt3uq3fwAlzz0CI6f3IdyZo+k5RZTFe/PoSqrL5ewsOkhOz+HfQB4SJkFk14JoxpEXzjfRC5eRHelgpafI8aCreRyMt1I401JJYOyhisW198iLk++85nHzUAxELQsGoFs3gF9rlt0UGUGq1oaFzEHMBKdvWaVjmBYM7CCECokMyxgEKthIvz3ttwh3nDr42U6YAC9oK7GwaaHr1OllVszYlDstd011BL2oOFvgpDuEn3m9K/YbF2lcwdLNkAUHEo/VUDBLWRIC0hZESJRSaUmkEmxN2QZFxlk11QCShnbOP0u7fF47KORPnQKtylKSrFjhLkMAptaRUTWVIyMlPgdSpOKfBmjBtOJIrEo2JOE4qTbDdslWOq/ZH1GpNCQUTjGdepTuepA5RVzlKgs8J5lvQ7YIvet8ZlcrKmFO0cJiwEceqoO2AlFn6YDsfgj5piajjtAu7LjZ1x7ZMoVwC1AsSz3syrqKByVqgdABYyjmxnMqiViGJRZBAAg3VIFROFHrXDgZB8VYzH1WSMHgYXEhrkeOXABVlmzl5P4AAB43SURBVGRbLn7mFGBZSmrU76XLGP8ESs4Tg7gkYwIapsJsuyPNWUkaaAMCMumYMpZlEZ41zaCjA+WcxeZMv526SNC7lgpH8kg7Z9BSYWC3YykdQy0dMy3D+axFlg1DMa515UtD8mdgthxCZDxOjfkciXvJxRlq4Mws4zPsA8hwsKucpUqzLTvIFDVQjVDrsx9kPWSXJ92Qd1qGba64hLGcOM1hYv5HTCSeROhL/o3WSW2eLSDkZrwbpwjOzALCUpfaWCnnB3JLGS4AQCtHskFSKNBoFyUpcAKiTnP9KRbZK1ahJG92VkZAFlwrJx3xECokPOyel7k1nOHLxI/wfygjo84hWg6BEhZHBW+jTAoPkZ0hMirkWLM1fWuACiHouNyH40qmLIht4dtSmoIAlyOUUuP9E6W8mifkfKd59kUBRqzmOUjPxZ7pWeQQ5D4LP5VeAiMwRS28LFK7whjgQz4C006GGFIdLmkYK835qRAlCx/kMYl7LKEY3wTOH3mGsJ5VtNrQMLQbWGemX+cGEYmrvVScJBsZduB6U1x82glTGUUrYJTm3AmLA1CvrYGfS0acYhGXTw3sIffb3fWpLylpfsYk2UqQSRVhNJKExB392grCczxPgBLWaRmC7aTrCTOxHI1jgk0iYmaEF2OTjR0QKhF8jdzlY556kd73axZEeeu4WBC24X3GRljN+hZcqeOKBeiQeU1IDoMpsti0jL9llLU9RooHyXk4B8o5dZjCwCiEEx9Y6KYQCbXol9aSZiP33izrfrsnJtumHH9hKSnkWXgHvSGuOlgAItKKMSNNu9GfFx5+g/sWFVcpae7GgKtaCW9MZpOxPpdaGdou0uyYaBoAZSuZAtNSjJGorK9gdFXBcgqcx1em4sUXQuUpyiA+T0WpzA6kwryC0eDETMb1klGmZqltI9ARpaJkbgWqDlzTUrOAaMu2HGBHiKZDKTKtljFtpBT73Q6EsiWKf7HYJBdTYJAtojiIJ/kuZC1Y6nlAlzApq2hAMA1XpD03sgCVv6Dck2qdVBpgTDAblq0WOlUvaUCEasFqpag5tuIlo8dFdGXvpL9V4r+japcOuWEmKz4BdzCDeDkcusiqglKNfiPjahT2ItbAr0mmGLkxDGTgKJ1FwjUMRvR9w8n+Zrs9XV/O16x9/zH2vLcYCcwVGc0tgFAELqsqLTCQxS5u2a1CkYvodGm9FH/PuU5quoVmwPHU/ghksAAtc9OMVFKpYqHKLSWXtFMWzUFNYFXqvgxVDhcoYB6MPQwskSVozlhExmFlQ8PNqWBKlWSKI4TJIGtIJ2phOl3KdEIJOMgxDWMMb1GYACdu1ERmRpRG3ri9Pp/Pu77hXjPFrzHhsh5E3Y4j+DLKI80sWR4nE3K4FVKFxSIhl35EkFVlHFf3ydT0RMoQLZrZgxW/Axhdqm2KP7HeHZKxXLFYq0PHSTV2kHFCLHiIwKB/DCwCCanSRxABDCnXlHiG8cSMDZ9BWBW2QaPiKg7Fm6XodyaGkC8cUxpYpAbssvyjgQ32++ub6x2bRu2feiA/mYoUmxykWYfvKylDahl3wl2paIiYDf2SsSC14mVOhSidhnEt02iKGJcw5S9k1gJpLZokVYCp2KbaAnFZrGThTk3vYEHEww4JCZR52q9gKGXz3cjVVdArwN17D/UFhdqASkm0Km08xB+MrFVohGpArKJ6aUPQNY0s+WhqKReY/nS8HE8yCVX8FSiyIZbXHeHAuVBTrbr0dbViuajrgJNkNZwcQARK09m4/qBSipiaxUwN10NulOqMqRa1YvGEosV5J9XOhU11z6WsoFq62sIh8L8rSWCyjGJdsQUWhTqlU8oUry1UyfGwvLTI62AgINjBtEM7yCqwMQ7SU+7TsmxmALjBugBX5kbqmlJ66fWoOJO7pWxriEn2l4aSdDTlJdebABAx+NVKypNcpmTZu9IcYneroAEUl+vwO4OKSy3iNH7rSLTAEi9Ct6ll8fEy2NySylmpkEK461KpEnEMZJIXJZyHYKiQRa5n4oCsJDQD4y/LH60wLOIq/QuWUSquqmzS0h/WYZjgkFI4dD/gGwt4jDlsd3EkjssJOf1D1HbQ92TZYl7X9gtOSQtWgpPeT1dTWhRpngcBxy2SNqkXLgbKFZoQQJF9GRxRtJQqC8enLDrpmesgtTXbyQqW1NrRtDC+PmvCkfU6hCFjoKwKGEuQlA5xN4/txAbg2zQQSeqVSy7UQ4kim0Ry9WBrWllJ1ohFAajSjJzXjzJ0DRfCF0LD1fzwnT7Np/enE5c7tLFIW2n/mmgTo0oLFzD4N8mEX6qkdsQUadWJ+XTSAhbVz+ob4VklJiGazKBWDOHMBbkUbiWrncjc3NigxlO5+Ck1DZo8FB7XuQpFoKQAtY6K58/VXjKQz5AyyDkbmEZM22vCgIZBPCWOUsyFv9BNiMyQFF0afIIHldL26qlOWDyR8codfuJ+Xvn7IsX/5ygqWZyEJIUeseIKpnn0rpvWXeP+Wm5zQxRZHqhlAKWrtXwFL3FJKX4vzUO6Sj0FHzwnZ3HGuOptiS8UF3HkXpiEoRU0uHEoV3KQO9IKbe5xhyjEGkFM+28KWlHaXAYoqTbKdioM2zVVPTTK9oR853Tiivg/S9l/75gqT9Mwgub8TsUxVZoOLziuO2gTfAQMnKAhs+XynTeljb4iHjUYm7O/HTO/SmUmZNVpWzEZbJn2yz5cxkjxtOU2MXCGlhQSx3JIC7RpAQ1HC4BW23LGbaiZF7fUc6zRdsPQc/Cc2/TS4NqyJ4tT2G/3x/OZqz/qf6Ta/h1QeMw1H/a8JZVmWVv2hVnJtgWTgbw75JH0GDJWGYZ2AddSQ44iUWjOTzfVDsFyHEfZt4CzjzhR7nKBn1rWFccxwo+Y/ZW0JVO3gx1lzCtZE4MQN73DD9w0Er890nZYaWhYheXC7JZLTPfHIyA5cR3M+B/vm5gmenKRttOQz+s3aG+ukgpkHZbvPJGavvLeqCTICxi6QwKsoezxfC7NUGwD3jxl551v+75vxxGGQHfhDkvDyNnzemxBqPhhlMQPsLUqbahKQcK7mN7gBuDk7l1cPSibEvWcz4YUxO+ASChYGjgPfGfLhbxD/Eeh+N+BZtqbaRprmvf6n4d8XrsRaSRknsQHOLlsM2wrkAgjpDR3IPUqalKDvNc/t+Nu4Cq4doQ63XAZKcIzkKDeGLghFYABZRIr1cBuFLd8UEJFNIlSZkqp/WEig+xDa7g4tyFQaa9avHKnmv2R40+cM/gd2+pPrzCvxZ6KhK8YTJDl07KemdMlhE19iorRSpXBc8JGWqNZDuXQDruL9d8uLXNWwLIdTV+OiV7gK7LJrOG+1dOPLKeVI93McouQsWWei0dlV0SYDFkYRrflcst+yxWpYjkdH1RciswxXDgl/+T/dOegfJ4gfZ37mircc3X5D5/zVgkJET5Hc8tQKn6jPVQDu6MmR4JTb9uLewrtCFSOm3aEubQcxR9lERjoYeA8ChQaI4hceOmYcUtEOBa8TPYM4cbWNZ2INQVYyQk2AfLoZesHppXsxHK2v2ESPRSy7cJvOJL35MlTpq3O3joQ2esU7jQ7l73tjSaPsF/GgMBmdeNCVTIBZHbS78/t/dP9Q3se2h2sBVzS9mm1OseM8DtpP2/IcxaRGnIqzQZeMfAR2VfUSOLDRuo4yGtSj3CFBhVeC3+jU3E1EOfSp/0p/vfbO/PaKOcUBHJjq4CzYFlCeGO7u765e7qzl/P1kUSIox+HJm37yJWD3AGf7CrLgCQsCzClqJVWtnuOLUBrqUm4GzpXp3PwHrelvp+m22VZN8L8b2CT33OIA/FqWvYgmQ3DGUA3dUA4OV1fftw9hXhzOcMpdjsuxoa5bFXfcgMUXHzE45EhhrSqxFJKRTqR7fHlR9OStWvZ3C3tHcPsj0PrW9m3tuSyGNkj4X8Nxesh5OIdQmyP2BOqiqOOJvP4c/04bo/XNw+wlecfF8AyQklsT9v9yDHZcRi5LpCrfajCWl57VnK5OrkVg2ll4y4SBrcoBunU3EukVmk7L+7zMH/AkSBg0uDbBzimtisis2tUaMCxquDIvS8qE1pDnXnzfLd+eQSxQHHi2O9BLFt8NrJNA4yir7m1atqeirvwKhn9E8fi2kEist2K/mea01ANc3wUznncn3ayESADeZ7/emuK/8Exdd7ZeK987QtcM27nx+yO27SNO2j5x/D08u32cnN9zTi02+9PW8SirWwhw61Fx7Qbr7wTFk6+5XkzaZTMWN6cBKiwaNvLpipSXeLqOr7YVvblGZgVf5i3uCmK12kXL4OgBU5PJgtgKjCCYTyGNroXX9nb2N5Ar+M4nfbbPa5wK7CMtJd+LEepMBjhWQpeepDEHvIxl1ciHOMXybQcK+iBCUNaz92+hqL4RxtF/ZePeSKTs1ZVQOCRrRPwY10ZHxpTbf21z+L9y1PQNl5aDynHC7zbt9RgQgl9L+8U1o8UvOSUtqx70guZRPZs5gJcxOITtfy+l4MI7bayh6ZqX5c3/RaF8p8f+TzdjVzHS1srz0ydV6qBpVRVtYUPDcPDfVV8ySyiEAQuYQEqu1ZCdLKXRmhXVruMwrckV/Y52kY2IeLuGfsdOYkRbL/DJyI8CIehe8gm/fRhbGU6QCO+CAw79CeVFQTFN75qd8fL0N66/Om70w8hu8B/xFpwoXFz2+/7keGI4PHsAQxFiqoFq5L7nfeysQxR2UvVRA5hEzJQm33YN55A2lyWYr8y6Vd6n3tVVAE6tj1eLjdIn7MvVfZw095cWmi56yPU3QmMO4gLUaxAlLWyJruRVdt9I7GGmCAdbKWYRH/b7c5nYVhSM0zr476RjcyyloVq5Aelcu4MwSE3jzPH+bfx+e7LUxW0/kEhdz63A3wIIRWhaL8dYTCtUAsMJm0zww30uZtXL6JeOgKi7pn9iDoG31LJvO229fGOPPdVVjUF6yVlxlHfPMBofAXOGI7H4XKJ+u578f3u2+3DAGY5k1kStyBAn5LSxXO3Y4JGNspJm/Hw9KmYaTLCL0Dl1HMDzXb4ONLk10dewDxMZjLIsIIl/AICrqw86HQ3Xp8vNw/f7kL+/e7++SHCcC7HM1zo2LZg3N24lSxvz0y6H1rZfWurJDPkQrFSvhKcmns89wzMIGN6juSpH9WB0kRFnkGz5YphuQllQExWFeQ87P26vdho774UX+7uHx/oQpfzORkLUqTdCYy7P4FzmUZDuxAVOBHEn2x+R4VvxFKUDJ+Aa4DPKCOv2QcSKH86QK5Fn0nj2INfPEJQA1KpqgZB5theXy7D8/1dAV6x326Byg3AmI0FzIIIK00KFl1oKlvSyyg6rZctSHvIva1sWURuYTqdTTtR/3mTyI9ysFYFgU8rKek5pio40+Ur6JfTqT2eoWd/3CJIPX0N+vH5ATHowmzo3B5FzZ1OYwud225bKdLBkYREJD+SzbkAyt5IHsD9JdU49c9Tkfl/ffZ/cTAD6uH8GfRbXkGshCYUXCOI04FYgUFcwk32fP9SPH19CTbGGxjLCCXXngWVsUVuhwya3YpWojT03LiVfJo1pCR9a3Y/Gtk5fppO++hHkTWFyeoM3yrINuTMpeGSp95vwRnRFxf/8JhlX8GM7v72lqicb6jZWFOAi4F69ttBNsDDJ51oK/Q6TEazbWQDNGmvcQ+7j2ofr4c0SIrG0KZNUWaGa+KqCjK38qGqTvvjkevVq9vH+5evGWzF6dsHYDK0w/k8iMaFqZy44Qli0H5kAjBlOekwW9EuPfd0MMM41ZE/vKmwBskpUBPyTFVZ8DAY0krT+G3w++NwviCdtS68fH/yQMXG4cdlvDlTy0kcGiDmyLqnLUM0eZWSbiv79grFjPJu22xqzCX1jw4K/z4Z4cyKssiqGqj4JngVoLaQslQjwzLUyu23Csru68vdfbB2gA9dhHAHGAssBhqXyqUdAElLP2qpdulInASFlGPe2P7UXPi4xzTlX5a5TGqZKlMerhOATGjAtGEXYQ+QcK29fXyBrXyFYPl2y9iMgxtBiLEcwS57+tGW/dJ9yqP5NgttkwoGEo2G+W2XPzyrcIlx0XD5QaEKqFouwq5YaEKm7Lf7EMaxPV9oK1bfvSCjrgJQeXi4uQHVXjjReExxiMqF9LJn24uiJZWjtmMqvLC64GdIPripTA1Eo2S4HN8Yf2AswSdYqmInVNvG4QEi7gvOq7q7e3zmANvNjXTQB6TK9KDdabeDamlP455l7m0qu6QUuQef5Pm8lc+Ht5TpMKowLBoYqDfo/CrnOp8GAhfR6HhNb7qJMd7fVU9PcKrq2yOCEImFLtKyS9GOlgEazALNR/WPtFgol/Un2A1I9uO7zc+Hl9nHovDcgwre4703HhoUgdkfq+p8vviLH54fdfDf11+/3yE02/hDYLlcn8/gFjn1lriAb/ftIKiIrYh+Q86QfzpUWHUGobBs4DlUBKEfisCqCGCpquLsM+jZ52/3nG/OvtzBGRCb40WkHHLEuaZwhJZDGNojGrVMAIhNfyLZtu1HKcX+qwdX19Z9zRUnBQ7WaSG66DVV8LsjDKbwl2qM1lV337/igr/cZ9+yDMwywkiigHLNuhwSawCzH8C5yIpF/LOLTN0yfsL30jZ1gxxFeVNSzdJymM4xlJBWLoAlXLLU1X9CZH6R1bAPdKHx5jK053YAJAmY3W43nPa7ZClj2kYRwHw278ko9glJYVRelUiYoVX4Vk9bR+/ZVTvQSgUTKh7v76cs9+7+8fn2IasCMsDzJZ7PUmlpd2Ivu3Y3EhVCMyTCGT98KP7jwUhpiIUMRlZF3RjZ7wFCf7vfgWiyqrjcXH5URX5///JlEhzfMuq4m0vmWZTi2z8l1QJMGJt3lC07cApNpf2L93j4wIe8nwVkvrzxiiHPcmSCq01DUe2P4ejPQAi8+pA/FncvX2ZpKsO+FTU/ZX8VryVHfONc4iIjLuPwYcsnf30IRcBBlOH+XJzIgVCZWAXCBJ+AAPIFqKTpn3XxPU0HPRQQ/T88gAl+4DuoAZahTQ1FTi/tWxa5SSmfDxVZMMkdYxqFjLBSMihpeq7CRYw9TpvABG5V8C27g8JDhH25y9KiaWAGicsJ22sJRBT9RAVedIRu2W0H6Rt/LlRSRi+z9JRtZdlXDMZSCtkyLod5u8ZcNvq4v/Pfv/Kt9+RtLiIlC3Pp8/XAbit5dRjpQPSh4YQDUeg3vkPgf+tgj9CUrEWGBkzrpJ0aYCx9v692INximqDzNw+3TsdQfXl6eqqCu9PukQniGC+IzQhSsBS2EllSOMoclPRZd+0nCz3ZvLcES9gKiXCBZJA73TUmVD3sAf7jWMqWZ7os3j4+3t29fP369PXry8vdt2+Pz4OONBH4T4vMOZ6P5/F4RDQaxYlaj+D0cXvHf32wrs9NEIsC9hIK50vqWRYni+2e857HwD0jaTAxDuHb/d2LR3b45eWl0kDlgdWEy0174chPO17G1Ai5FrJtT8ff+76J/5VjKod5zuyUGbNDztVCqqim54530C9HUWXULtymkIsW+UD2FL683N0DlWdRtyw8sdwvtHKNSHx93F2fjq2vPmPwmYeyAydUClmSbrjFTsV9Cdi8wiU/XvsjC07MEGVet/oKxf+dqNzr59vbBAv4FvYSzxdq/oFOxUD9CcqQf3UAFnbcPUtv4BRuiUhYAEzgnjvcXgY3ceoPt88Zl1Vy92E8fnfvHh9l67J2Lt+y2M9iAqiFAxztJyTa+SjoKtLhYMmAewAyKIc9og/EiDQOA3NDX9w+P2aC4hPu4vupWOuGmJFqWb9lpfLcnsczh32kWPkJeTYd8AlYCFel54qNDsUqNqBhWSUcq2Pw19fnC1mlmt7FGhHp6fvX7y93yA+/PcuaaJgIKPciZZak5Ggv4yeTbm8Ht6VR8i341FKuTN8H2V3mdCLNFmIXF65knPbq8PnT0/eXAFS+cRFvHEZ7ERfiB8fhhFSO8ZfvRfkpDsYZvuNtxgyIa+aC70Pvkf/4PEjJKSvO1DBIgh6mnXKLwj/RVu7v75+fb4cUm29uWKIcRhagOBElnfXPeRReVWlLuZyChRMVzrMs2e/C9gT/2YFloFov9J+0TESmTlnfrgJQeXy8vY0DILnBk6BaxIPO123auPuTOhCSQoBQyPbi5NVQ4VRwAzKXqQ6TmWtQLu+aNh2G8C8QmZ++fvlCDyIqP1jpv5Fygqx4mCPyJ8WEy4C4w2qVxGw2rzib9uLwACrjTnKsoCR1K2vMaCmIzC8v93e0lec4/LhJ3SJAkoNxi7fdyz/fkXaEqpga9tyluGLHvfLZfP7cWa7yDs6C/DjzDw+3cq4vX74WnJVDBqm1BSq3EcYSiwk8pgqMaZ8Tk4wh1kuvAwzrmqqBuYBWEJ1ZaJJJ+vx4ZC4MxgjkkvRbL1nxdf0VHkS6tZriNnJJrUf8BrTZ5frMp31OqmUZSTwBDmM834iz4Wb5rB/st3vJXyhbYBNgGiq9yb9yKpvC595VQAWC5fn2gc6D1JF1luP1TRU+KSQZtwrgOwArjtIGlmcBge9VTxkbuNdQ5kTYQutT8YJO84TJ6wl7h0e0G8RaqOEi/C1Vpj4t0YpuKziuD/tITFJxCI61WnaYg2TLHBw9X6qb4G+mGbYic3QmfHyprLtn2gxbYQ9+ANO8vjnt//rs/l/HvIko39LLG9aqYRVk1yDhaE9Vy2ITAMgCB0wr8G2aJ/ffvzMwT7zy7RuyZhsfNi10XHprsuwTM23+OoAVJCWUkS8eMKGMC2GOYVrdi0/OBD7c3j5/k7zAy4ZEoXohLI/ORh0jo9f09M9Xo31/5NNScCgWRQLxjemp5AQw8SpZDC9Zc87739iCt9hcpLEgCN/m+Y95YDb/+LNuf3nIFj+MwVMiVBkggtjcb/38eBrQotyHbM2RGqaRRyFculD2xYGXnbyT5LQR9Oc+ZFcN7ktOPLj9Md+PxCP7mQv6r2qjEAl3ycLNj4fb5+d09/T+RK833z3/0x5Ju/LdvLy8wZFYDDf+kw7hW/E5T/P1VDQg4GmbgmIS834mJWZCz7efVt6/HdMZBWp8zz1gRKrMu9XLij9JFekvrDhlZJl8evOq+zsI/q9rxKDsy8tLdj9vLvW5bWWqBlDXIpJYxh3OBTc+7UlCuxBKOcrSFEkDi4CYKx3Gb9+y1ClJ5sYpg2R5n91SuFiOajVr6r7mylxxIXnjpywP235fSKnay4y9D2ldMRFCqHn+dn9/l2xl/ZVzPV/us+wjrib9dw9whQmZkppblrymmLfzYf68lwJ+Nr1313V6iwEGaiTMz3MXY9ozl2t68vldED71wUQPEq00JhXKRK7m4lDwHU57FW87tPhJu4NnwMNVnm6m2JOqMHd3n51RshQ84BUV2SJ/3diJ4cf3VdWzhPD6Ll9ZmoAT2Q9ty8Ccf6MDwYMgV9Zfp2dk7zez+YQHHYGbWzAKA5vpve04ec29LWRhrS+mOe0pwfPXl+Jy8SL28nkV3LwF1E+v/HllflGwxlRlXt4vLS2ArBqRuFKcRvwt5npr2rVRciOEoEv1kAaiJiPikyQ7/unt8T7hIWya3nlcvie5VnFdeiNtMaZCjEZeWkFEpmIZoZKmBsn2+fG+mLF5B0LC6ZOi4uctRN6IoMjFQALrb/3udNyd9jvuc3E8Vgkyvt1cFpAHERVudpzNtftJ8k/v7/5Z5Qrn0Kv5fWWn8JqlzVBzlhJkFV3we06DHqWGn8/PLaj2fbKO/O4uAcACy/c0lpA9fnv8pJbCNWJhrg5Q0eesSnJvce9fgyu9CKEbKm8ylmzaVE3Ei9jFHXPsrySV/O2VPykmPEPOGM/iJEtFFXY1mknJFVOQpdX49NaEPFIRpvrx8JAnBs5/ijbFZ/YfEGce3p0MS5Gc3WkagvJWS5qmeI7X19cs14JqKVeEYGQi9/4e2H1JxaV5o8Y5w/50UUgWa78rpLF54VNn3b+fz8KZVVwhlQ4WbKsLJ7Zvfvy4fXi+/Vbcc6nH9/npX7+/vNzdkVnySQ1/oqPgbm9cjPv2cwokU9loPt7e/ijL0w6N2Zm9QFoZ8oT87d0Xp+dk31/Yan4rAH+mI8/Dnyb2pm09ip8eKPI33SFTKhcZnaxSzyNPbwL++vwJjLkO98m45Q/S820X7p/3xZmfls8dHXlbAaEa+NRDkd3i3vtkYwmBCUD/H+7r/b845jeke3ckeVuk97R7e+IrRnLOAkieVGyAhnu4fXz8dn9/z+TwO7LD/LUCV2SfLjTnxc+dCNEfsyD92exlBcNkKfl8xoKdT5o2T/suvVKrvMq0BORf+Vv+D3lRxixNogrcAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC)
股市漲到現在,從SP最低2346到今天日間高點2595,有249點10.6%的漲幅。因此2018年Q4下跌凶猛,從最高2940到聖誕前夕2346合20.2%的跌幅(剛好踩熊市的紅線),聖誕以後已經收複將近一半失地。大跌急漲,後市如何?這是我們投資層麵的鴨兔錯覺。先說鴨子。
鴨子會飛,後市看漲。很多優質股現在價位低廉,如果基金等有持倉比例的要求,現在該掃貨這些優質股。去年上漲凶猛的FANG等,現在進入選股階段,有的漲得快些,有的漲不動。我做一個預言:蘋果今年能見到186,即它從高點下落20%(蘋果的熊市)。即便蘋果走到那裏,大盤也許還出不來新高。因為蘋果是大佬,從這一層看,牛市完蛋了。反過來看:蘋果不測試186,做空的該有所忌憚。
兔子打洞,後市看跌。漲了很多又很急,昨天今天量少,上漲可信度下降。抄底成功的可以套利,因為過去兩周賺的可能比全年都多。高位被套的這裏解套,QQQ 160是聯儲會議前的位置。很少有人料到聯儲會後再跌10%,因此這一帶套住不少。少爺的401K是在QQQ163進場的,現在的目標是賺2%出來。近期的情緒指標走到黃金分割位置,以VIX為例,基線12,本輪最高36,幾何平均值為20.8。如果認為去年基線是11/10一帶,幾何平均值下調到18/19。曆史上下跌,VIX的幾何平均數位置很微妙,必須有效下破才能結束一輪回調。這裏大概率反複,小概率跳空下破(需要借助消息、對應指數高開留缺口不補)。
總之,現在的半高位,牛眼看牛,熊眼看熊,是我們每個人的鴨兔錯覺測試。少爺以為近期看跌(一周左右),中期上漲(幾周),遠期看跌(三到六個月)。股市在2017年的收盤點位是2673,往上2940有267點,往下2346有327點。以2673為軸線振蕩的局麵開始往空方傾斜,因此後麵要觀察股市能否有足夠能量上測2873(左肩次高)。我看好能到2740,我看淡到2873。蘋果大佬加上2673軸線等因素,少爺看見了兔子。
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