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博文
(2014-11-13 17:08:33)
(2014-11-08 08:36:42)
(2014-10-09 16:37:13)
WithRussellbreakssupporttoday,firsttimelongtimethismarketlooksvulnerable.Earningseasonisinfullplayrightnow.Sofar,ERisnotbad.
However,thismarketisveryunstable.Extremecautionneeded.
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(2014-09-29 16:11:45)
VIXiscloseto17.Withonemorespike,marketcouldsetinaneartermbottom(ifnotalreadytoday).Itmeansthatwhopanicsellinginlastfewdaysmightregretsoon.Itisnotthetimetopanic,buthavingshoppinglistreadyanddeploysomecash.[閱讀全文]
(2014-09-05 16:54:53)
(2014-09-03 15:49:19)
BigreversalinAAPLwhobringQQQdownwithit.Itistimetotakesomeprofitincertainnames.S&P500crossupanddownof2000for7daysinarow.Timetotakesomecautiousandmayaddsomeprotection.
Iamupnearly50%inTWTR.Timetolockinsomeprofithere.Bearishengulfingisformedtoday.Alsoitisclosetowherebrokedownhappened.Probablywillhavesomeretracementbackto$44-45area.
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(2014-08-23 16:52:54)
Oneunderperformedsectorwithgovernmentontheirbackforquiteabit.Recentpenaltypayoutmightputthatbehindthem.PersonallyIwishgovernmentjustletthemallBKbackin2008whichwouldmakethisrecoveryaloteasier.
However,afterapreviousuptrendandrecentconsolidatingandbasing.2ndlegupmightbeontheway.Butthesebigbanksmayalreadybecomeutilities.Anditisverydifficulttofigureoutwhatareontheirbalancesheet.
Butgivingthatp...[閱讀全文]
(2014-08-20 16:44:18)
V型反彈9天,基本沒給散戶任何機會建大倉.清掉倉的人會痛苦一段時間(一到兩個月).追還是不追就是個問題.
在這個時候,最好的辦法就是忍.但很多人會做不到.所以就一錯再錯.忍不住的最好辦法就是控製倉位.此時就隻能小倉位玩玩而已.
什麽時候加保護呢?現在還不急.puts有時間消耗.何時加也需要時機.現在RSI還沒到超買.向上動能很大.當pricemovesfasterthanindicator,持續時間會長[閱讀全文]
(2014-08-14 14:38:11)
MarketatresistancebutMACDisabouttocross.SincethecompletionofA-B-Ccorrectivepattern,thismarketdoesn'tgivepeopleanychancetorebuildposition.
Thisisexactlywhywecannotsellintopanic.Thistypeofmarketmakepeoplewhocannotsitveryunderperform.Somewhowentshortgotburnedonemoretime.Andevenmoreunderperform.Inlastweek'sAAIIsentiment,thereweremorethan40%bears.Thisweekitreducedto27%.Thistellsusthatindividualinve...[閱讀全文]
(2014-08-11 18:02:46)
Thereareafewmistakesweliketomakeoverandoveragainasanindividualinvestor.Imadethese
mistakesmorethanoncebefore.Inrecentyrs,Iwatchthesebadbehaviorscloselyandtrytoavoidthematallcost.Butstill,theywillcomebackandtestme.
Heretheyarebutnotleast:
1.Chasehotstocksandignorecrowdedtrade.
Hotstocksareusuallyovervalued.Whenindividualinvestorsstarttonoticethem,theyarealreadyinlatestage.Entirerall...[閱讀全文]
mistakesmorethanoncebefore.Inrecentyrs,Iwatchthesebadbehaviorscloselyandtrytoavoidthematallcost.Butstill,theywillcomebackandtestme.
Heretheyarebutnotleast:
1.Chasehotstocksandignorecrowdedtrade.
Hotstocksareusuallyovervalued.Whenindividualinvestorsstarttonoticethem,theyarealreadyinlatestage.Entirerall...[閱讀全文]
