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I'llspareyouhavingtoonceagainhavingtoreadmylong,torturedhistorylectureonthehorrorsoffiatcurrency,fractionalreservelending,centralbanking,securitizationandderivativessystem,whichunderpinsallofourtroubles.Rather,Iwillfocussolelyonthelastfouryears,fast-forwardtotoday.
Backinmid-2003,FreddieMacwasbustedfor“cookingthebooks”andmonkeyingaroundwiththebalancesheetandP&Ltoactually—believeitornot—...[閱讀全文]
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FEDERALRESERVEStatisticalRelease
H.4.1
FactorsAffectingReserveBalancesofDepositoryInstitutionsand
ConditionStatementofFederalReserveBanks
August9,2007
1.FactorsAffectingReserveBalancesofDepositoryInstitutions
Millionsofdollars
Averagesofdailyfigures
ReserveBankcredit,relateditems,andWeekendedChangefromweekendedWednesday
reservebalancesofdepositoryinstitutio...[閱讀全文]
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(2007-08-10 19:25:43)

好文!析美國次級信貸市場的潛在風險(轉貼)來源:bear888於07-08-1017:05:10[檔案][博客] [舊帖][轉至博客][給我悄悄話]
美國銀行家的胃口永遠難以滿足,當大部分普通人的房地產按揭貸款資源開發殆盡後,他們又將眼光盯上了一些根本不合格的人。這就是美國600萬貧困或信譽不好的窮人和新移民。
美國的按揭貸款市場大致可以分為三個層次:優質貸款市場(PrimeMarket),“A[閱讀全文]
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InthebeginningGodmademorons.Thatwasforpractice.
Thenhegotdowntotheseriousbusinessofmakingcentralbankers.
Theroleofacentralbankshouldbetoprotecttheintegracyofthecurrency.Increasingmoneysupplyattherateofeconomicgrowth.
Today'scentralbankersputtheirnosesineverythingrelatedtobusiness.Theygetcalled"Maestro"&getknighted.
Theyarepoliticalanimals&TVstars.Theyeatinfinere...[閱讀全文]
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BillFleckenstein,presidentofFleckensteinCapital,ahedgefundmanagerwhoisbettingagainstcredit-industrystocks,saidthemarketisgoingthroughacorrectioninwhichsecuritizedmortgagesthatfueledthehousingboomarebeingmarkedtotheirrealvalue."There'sgoingtobeashutdowninthehousingmarket.AndFannieMaeandFreddieMacarenotgoingtobeabletobailitout,norshouldthey,"Fleckensteinsaid."IfFannieMaeandFreddieorsomebodybailsoutt...[閱讀全文]
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QuoteoftheWeek:Hedgefundsandprivate-equityfirmstodayarelikethedot-comsin2000:Askformoneyandyou'llgetit.Theybidupthepricesofeverything.Theamountofmoneyflowingisalmostoutofcontrol,andit'smakingeverythingovervalued.Aclientofminesaidit'slikethereare11,000planesintheskyandonly100goodpilots--anaccidentisboundtohappen.—RayDalioofBridgewaterAssociates,quotedinBarron's,May26th2007edition[閱讀全文]
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             天妒紅顏啊,特殊的中國
                ·悠 哉·
  這個世界就數我們中國最特殊。
  因此,不適用世界通行的普通標準和規則。包括飛機失事的賠償,中國人花同樣的錢乘同一班飛機,失事了隻被賠償外國人的幾分之一,還對保險公司謝天謝地!中國人的尊嚴已經夠低賤的了,可是,老天爺的立場為什麽[閱讀全文]
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Thereare2purposesofaCentralBankasfaraslegitimatepurposes.Iwon'tgointotheillegitimatepurposes,whichthereisone,toallowbankerstoscrewusoutofasmuchpropertyastheycan.
Onepurposeisasareservevesselandtheotheristoputoutcirculatingmedium.Now,oneimpliestheother,thatthereservesbackthecirculatingmediumandtheCentralBankdoesn'tgiveoutthemediumwithoutgettinginreturnthereserveasset.Thereserveassetbearsinter...[閱讀全文]
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(2007-08-09 23:54:25)

Crammer:"Iamfrightened"LimeJuice
NEW8/9/20071:07:45PM 3:47PMEDT
YouCanHeartheFearontheStreet--Andthat'swhat'sreallyscary.
Whenyouspeaktopeopleinbonds,youarehearingthreewordsthatyouareneversupposedtohear:"Iamfrightened."Nooneinthisbusinessiseversupposedtousethosewords.ButIamhearingthemallthetime.
Thecomplacencyisgone.Thef...[閱讀全文]
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WorstScenariosofBearStockMarkets..
...arenoproblem. byPoorSoul
MorethanhalfofallAmericanscouldn'tgiveadamniftheDowwasat7,000,theS&Pat800andtheNasdaqat1,200.
Thatwon'timpacttheirlives.
ButtheBIGPROBLEMisnotwhatwillhappentothestockmarketsifthosemarketsceasebeingdisconnectedfromthegrimeconomicfundamentals.
DEBTistheissue.THEISSUE.
And,althoughwhatwillhappentothestockm...[閱讀全文]
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