(excerptedfromlatesteditionofforcastglobaleconomy)
SincethefinancialpanicoflatesummerSIVshavebeenshutoutofthecommercialpapermarkets.IncomingmonthsSIVsneedtorolloverabout100billiondollarmaturingcommercialpapers.WithnomeanstoraisenewmoneytoredeemthematuringcommercialpapersSIVswillbeforcedtoselltheirholdingsofriskymortgagebackedsecurities.Suchfiresaleswilldepressalreadydepressedpricesofthoserisky...[閱讀全文]
博文
(2007-11-01 22:49:08)
(2007-10-31 20:15:56)
Bubblesimplode.Andthishousingbubbleisnoexception.
WhenGreenspantooktheFedFundsRatedownto1percent(lowerthanthelowestrateoftheGreatDepression),itmeantthatwhatHADBEENthemonthlymortgagepaymentona$150,000housesuddenlybecametheamountofamonthlymortgagepaymentona$400,000house.
Andpresto-those$150,000housesbecame$400,000houses.
Lookatthehighest-pricedmarketforhousingintheU.S.-theSanFranciscoBay...[閱讀全文]
WhenGreenspantooktheFedFundsRatedownto1percent(lowerthanthelowestrateoftheGreatDepression),itmeantthatwhatHADBEENthemonthlymortgagepaymentona$150,000housesuddenlybecametheamountofamonthlymortgagepaymentona$400,000house.
Andpresto-those$150,000housesbecame$400,000houses.
Lookatthehighest-pricedmarketforhousingintheU.S.-theSanFranciscoBay...[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-31 20:13:56)
Weareinahousingbubbleandithasn'tburst.Historysaysithasn'tburst.HousingstartsforSeptember2007wereaccordingto868,000.Priorto1997,868,000singlefamilyhomeshadneverbeensoldinagivenyearinUShistory.Everydaynewswehearisfiction.Inallyearspriorto1997,thecurrenthousingstartswouldbeconsideredamassivehousingboom,somethingthatwouldsurelyoverheattheeconomy.
Onemustquestiontheworldnewsaboutitfailuretoelaborat...[閱讀全文]
Onemustquestiontheworldnewsaboutitfailuretoelaborat...[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-31 07:25:04)
從“漢奸”到“人奸”
發布者thchen在07-10-3108:02
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·ｙｏｕｙｕａｎ·
“抗日誌士”水城的豪言壯語得到了雲帆的透徹的分析。本人隻想從做人的基本邏輯來補充幾句。在一定的曆史和社會條件下，“漢奸”是一合法而且合理的罪名[閱讀全文]
發布者thchen在07-10-3108:02
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QualityBrand!
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·ｙｏｕｙｕａｎ·
“抗日誌士”水城的豪言壯語得到了雲帆的透徹的分析。本人隻想從做人的基本邏輯來補充幾句。在一定的曆史和社會條件下，“漢奸”是一合法而且合理的罪名[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-30 05:46:25)
Itbecomesmoreimportantnowtotakedeliveryofwhateverinvestmentsyouhaveinsharesaspapercertificates.Wheneverabrokertellsyouitcannotbedoneitiseitherself-servingorrankstupidity.OnceyoudohavetheminyourpositionDONOTlosethem.
Thebasicgoalnowistoeliminateintermediariesbetweenyourassetsandyourself.Whatdoyoustandtolosebytakingthisaction:afewpercentagepointsinterestandataxadvantage?Yougaintheadvantageofpo...[閱讀全文]
Thebasicgoalnowistoeliminateintermediariesbetweenyourassetsandyourself.Whatdoyoustandtolosebytakingthisaction:afewpercentagepointsinterestandataxadvantage?Yougaintheadvantageofpo...[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-29 21:14:20)
大學畢業咋都一窩風地都擠銀行裏去了？LocalAccess打往中國電話卡1.3￠/分種來源:laoyangdelp於07-10-2920:20:40[檔案][博客] [舊帖][轉至博客][給我悄悄話]
女兒大學讀的經濟學，畢業以後做投資銀行、風險投資應該算是專業對口吧。前幾天她們校友開派對，給我看的照片上俊男美女美不勝收。看到小帥哥，出於當媽的本能，俺就情不自禁地幻想挖回家來當女婿。一問那個子[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-29 21:02:35)
QuarterlyReviewandOutlook
ThirdQuarter2007
ByVanR.HoisingtonandLacyH.Hunt,Ph.D.
GROWTHRECESSIONAgrowthrecessionisatimeinwhichtheeconomyexpands,butatapaceinsufficienttoprovidejobsforalllaborforceentrants,thusincreasingtheunemploymentrate,accordingtothelateDr.SolomonFabricantofNYUandtheNationalBureauofEconomicResearch.Anotherdefinitionofgrowthrecessioniswhentheeconomygrowsatlessthanitspo...[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-28 22:53:05)
NealeS.Godfrey,authorof"MoneyDoesn'tGrowonTrees:AParent'sGuidetoRaisingFinanciallyResponsibleChildren,"andchairoftheChildren'sFinancialNetwork:"Stepawayfromthetelevisionandthemagazines.Alltheyservetodoisshowyouhowstupidyouarebecauseyou'vemissedwhateverthey'retalkingabout.It'soldnews.It'salreadyhappened."Theadvicecamefromherfinancialadviser,sherecalls."Iusedtocallhimandsay,'Whydidn'twe...?'He'dsay,...[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-28 21:24:14)
1949之後：土改何以要殺人？
發布者siyu在07-10-2807:46
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1949年中共建政以後，在全國發動的第一場運動就是土地改革運動。1950年1月，中共中央發出指示，準備進行土地改革。1950年6月30日，中國公布《中華人民共和國土地改革法》，宣稱土改的目的和任務是"廢除地主階級剝削的土地所有製，[閱讀全文]
發布者siyu在07-10-2807:46
請您惠顧讚助商
鼓勵其長期支持CND
QualityBrand!
CNDAmazon
Cameras,Books...
1949年中共建政以後，在全國發動的第一場運動就是土地改革運動。1950年1月，中共中央發出指示，準備進行土地改革。1950年6月30日，中國公布《中華人民共和國土地改革法》，宣稱土改的目的和任務是"廢除地主階級剝削的土地所有製，[閱讀全文]
(2007-10-28 16:37:43)
RE:ValuingTheoriesofinflationsmokey
NEW10/28/200712:05:15PM Wageswouldnotonlyhaveto"rise,andreasonablyquickly."Theywouldhavetoriseunreasonablyhigher.
Theappreciationinhousingpricesadded10-20thousanddollarsofdisposableincomeperhouseholdperyeartotheeconomyyetitjustploddedalong.Thedepreciationofhousingpricesisnowhavingth...[閱讀全文]
