你的帖子錯了,改了吧。你說的可能是GDP now, 最新的預測是 -1.8%, 2025Q1

來源: 2025-03-27 09:28:32 [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀:

Latest estimate: -1.8 percent — March 26, 2025

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -1.8 percent on March 26, unchanged from March 18 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 9.1 percent to 8.8 percent. The alternative model forecast, which adjusts for imports and exports of gold as described here, is 0.2 percent.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow