6月15日2019是個星期六， 夏時製。 你們認為老薩是因為想金教授了， 才在早上6點35分爬起來

跟愛潑斯坦聊了2小時？

2019年2月份，有個CVRA Challenge case.

根據ChatGPT:

Why the CVRA Challenge Matters

It legally confirmed that the government acted improperly in giving Epstein special treatment. (2008)
It exposed how prosecutors shielded Epstein and his associates.
It boosted public pressure to re-investigate Epstein. （重點）
It set the stage for the 2019 SDNY case that ultimately arrested him again. （重點）

SDNY case, 到了6月15號，各種 news 滿天飛，已經是山雨欲來風滿樓了吧？愛潑斯坦也於7月6日被捕。

所以，薩摩斯周六的早六點半， 給愛潑斯坦發短信聊天。 倆老頭大篇幅談概率， 中心思想是啥不用俺提示了吧？除了老薩提了兩句金教授。 愛潑斯坦再倆小時內， 根本沒提金一個字！

所以，這個Peril, 真正所指的是愛潑斯坦的麻煩， 那個SDNY case。倆人談了大半天概率，就是談的這個麻煩， 有多大概率進局子， 多大概率能花錢消災。

S: I ll call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril?  我過會兒給你打電話。你要繼續不理主流媒體連篇絫牘地報道嗎？（不做準備，不刪帖嗎？）時間是6：35AM

A： Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again with peril.. 0 。 我要是你， 會更擔心你自己再次麻煩的概率。。0！（ 放心，我不會連累你的。 他， 還真自殺了， 佩服！) 時間是 7：09AM.  在34分鍾之間，倆老男人談了很多概率論， 還說了老薩給愛潑斯坦捐錢的事兒！

那個Peril, 跟金教授一分錢的關係都沒有！俺也是今天才讀明白。 感謝大一，老魏給了俺這次露臉的機會！

笑話一下哈佛 Crimson的小編, 也就那點水平！還不如俺呢。。。

  ===================================

如下由老魏整理,  僅供參考：

• 06/15/2019 06:35 AM Larry → Jeffrey: I ll call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what.

• 06/15/2019 06:48 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk about prob of trump being re-elected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one shots.

• 06/15/2019 06:54 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated space. Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once!

• 06/15/2019 06:56 AM Jeffrey → Larry: III have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you did add - with gusto-jeffrey, that is REALLY stupid

• 06/15/2019 06:57 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Do u think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless? You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what.

• 06/15/2019 06:58 AM Larry → Jeffrey: U r better at understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At understanding movement of money too.

• 06/15/2019 07:07 AM Jeffrey → Larry: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many past events. More like what is the probability you being reincarnated .

• 06/15/2019 07:09 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again with peril.. 0

• 06/15/2019 07:21 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule

• 06/15/2019 07:33 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN

• 06/15/2019 07:34 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Just called

• 06/15/2019 07:47 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Try now

• 06/15/2019 08:26 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Just tried back

• 06/15/2019 08:34 AM Larry → Jeffrey: U called but I couldn't hear anything