外鄉人您好,視頻分析和音頻原文[始於0分0秒長10分]及中文譯文:

來源: 於 2025-09-22 19:27:48 [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀：次
=====視頻分析=====
抱歉，我無法查看或分析視頻內容。不過，從圖片來看，這似乎是一個名為“STOCKS WITH JOSH”的股票分析節目。這裏可能涉及到股市走勢和個股分析，例如SPY （SPDR S&P 500 ETF）和TSLA（Tesla）的價格圖表等。
具體分析和內容還需查看視頻來獲得完整的信息。你可以告訴我更多關於視頻中的內容，我可以幫你分析或提供相關的知識背景。
=====音頻信息=====
What an exciting time that we are in to invest on Wall Street with the rise of AI. I've got a couple comments on that that I'm going to share in the course of this video that I think would surprise some of you guys. Nothing is slowing down. Nothing is slowing down. Now, people are buying right now because the markets are continuing to move higher. I am not suggesting that we will not have some red days ahead. But what I'm telling you is that the market is extremely bullish and showing a lot of strength right now. And if we do get some red hiccup weeks or even a red hiccup month, I don't think that the market is going to spend much time pulling back. I don't see even 2026 being like 2022. And if we do get some red months, there is so much money sitting on the sidelines because people are still afraid to buy. They're afraid to buy these elevated or expensive levels. But the fact is, the market keeps demonstrating that it wants to go higher. Now, that is the big picture view. The micro view is that we've been trending up quite a bit, and we need healthy 2% and 4% to 6% corrections along the way to give us some stepping stones to continue to make that next leg up. I think the question on the table that I've poised a few times on this channel, which stock is going to get to 200 first Palantir or NVIDIA, is still a valid question. And a lot of other stocks are beginning to run. We saw Apple have a beautiful day today, and all they ever had to do was to begin to get more involved and spend some money on AI, and Wall Street would reward them. They are one of the best positioned companies for growth opportunity as soon as they begin to get some of those AI ducks in a row. Guys, welcome to Wall Street. This is the Stocks with Josh show, and I've got some analysis or a big picture view of the SPY that I want to share with you guys today. I'm going to be talking about the health of the current rally that we're in. And yes, we've been rallying all summer long from April's lows to the present, and the market still looks strong. And of course, we've got to look at the catalysts, both bullish and bearish. So we're going to do a check up on the SPY, and I'm going to give you some technicals that you want to be watching there. And one of them is very bullish. Now, I don't want you guys to take one bullish idea in the midst of an entire video and use it as an excuse to blindly jump into stocks. I am a strategic investor. I am very careful with my money, and I've got a plan. I've got patience, and I've got discipline. And if you need help with that, I want you to come and join me in the Stocks with Josh Pro Trading community. It's for beginners, intermediates, and pros. There's a lot of heavy hitters over there. We have seven crowned traders providing guidance to the community and more that we're adding. We are covering a lot of things. We're teaching people how to chart. It's a university. It's the Chart Goat University, which means that you can become your greatest of all time in your financial journey. And as well as the fact that I provide A-plus scalp setups five days a week, half an hour before the market opens. And today, a couple of them ripped. It can't get any easier than this. Apple and Tesla, no false signals. But as soon as we crossed those prices and we continued higher, it was jump on board because these absolutely rocketed. And what these scalp setups provide you is a sense of how high they might go, where you should consider locking in some profits along the way. I'm not telling you that Wall Street is easy. I'm not telling you that it's two-dimensional. It's multifaceted. But I'm telling you that in the Stocks with Josh discord, I've got the right people. We're teaching the right things. We're providing successful trade alerts, both for stocks and options, and a lot of education and a lot of encouragement. Come get in there and start your journey today. It is the same name as the show, the name of the website. You got to go to www.andsearch.stockswithjosh.com. Come check it out. All right, I don't want you to miss a single minute of this video because I think there's some very important details that may help you. But of course, you've got to do your own due diligence and nothing I say is a suggestion for what you should buy, sell, or hold. Today, I'm going to be going over Catalyst for the week. I'm going to be giving you a spy overview and of course, I've got a hot stock. And the hot stock that I'm going to be talking about today, and I want you guys to gear up because we have been absolutely crushing it. At the beginning of September, of course, it was BABA and it was Google, and those are still doing very, very well. And then of course, we took a big position in AMPX and that ripped. And I've got a couple other small caps that we've made money on in the past. And I'm getting ready to draw them back to your attention because it looks like we can make some money on these in the days ahead as well. Guys, hit that like and subscribe at bare minimum. Make sure you get the next video from this channel. All right, let's talk about the Catalyst ahead for this week. We've got a huge data dump this coming Friday. We're going to get the PCE. That is the personal consumption expenditure price index. And we've got four other reports, revised GDP, durable goods, and consumer confidence report, as well as home sales. Now, this is a data dump on Friday, and it is probably going to be the biggest Catalyst for the week. And it's coming at the end of the week. And I want to caution you guys, even though we've gone up today, and I don't want you to front run being bearish, I am still expecting a pullback in the month of September, right? And I think that the market's going to be very sensitive to the PCE this Friday, that if inflation remains hot or if consumer confidence begins to drop, these things are foreshadowing the Fed having a harder time cutting rates than the market is already priced in. So we're going to be on high alert Friday for some profit taking. We are still in the month of September, which means that there is going to be some rotation, right? The market has just got a hairline trigger for selling if it gets a single scare. So we'll be watching the markets very carefully Friday. We'll be watching that VXX for any opportunity it might give us. And that's also bringing us to our next Catalyst, which is simply the end of September. And at the end of September, we're going to begin to hear more about a potential government shutdown. And this could just be another opportunity for the markets to lock in some gains and get the markets to pull back, get retail to unload their position so that they can reload their position for a market that's strong. Going into big tech earnings, which is the middle of October, the week of October 15th, we should begin to see another round of big tech earnings telling us how things are going. And at the moment, it doesn't appear that they're slowing down. Now, at the end of this video, after I talk about the SPY and this hot stock I'm going to drop today, I'm going to be talking about an interview that I saw on CNBC with the CEO of Nvidia and Sam Altman from OpenAI, because that was incredible. And it absolutely fired me up for the opportunities ahead that we've got on Wall Street. We are going to make so much money in this moment of time, and I don't want you guys to miss out on it. So let's kick things off. We're going to talk about the health of the SPY. By doing that, we're going to look at the charts. Let's head over there. All right, let's kick things off with the Fib trend-based extension, which is really pointing us to a climb ahead. The immediate target that we've got for this based on the pullback that we had in 2020, the run-up that we had in 2021, and then the pullback that we experienced in 2022 shoots us all the way up to this move that would land us at 682.85. Now, that's the immediate target. But everybody knows that the Fib trend-based extension really finds its ultimate home up here in the golden pocket between the 1.6 and the 2 level, which means that the long-term projectory, and remember, we're looking at monthly candles, which means each of these candles represents an entire month of price action, either to the upside or to the downside. And this is a big picture, long-term target and goal. Before any kind of reversal, there's this potential of a move all the way up to 772 to 872. This is typically where rallies go to die, right up above the golden pocket. So that is where we have our long-term view of what the SPY can possibly do. But that's a big picture view. That's the macro, right? That's the continuation of the AI move, and we'll have pullbacks, 4% to 6%, and maybe even a 10%-er along the way before we hit these levels. But this absolutely points to a market that's screaming higher. And we knew that when we got this massive wick back in April, that the market was going to push up. But that's the big picture view of how high it can actually go. Now let's take a step back and look at the details of the micro move of September. Now, I always give you actionable content, and you want to screenshot the levels that you're looking at right now, because these are going to be your continuation moves to the upside, breakout levels right here. You can see that we actually broke above it today, 665 is that critical level. And then down here, 652.40 for a potential breakdown. Now, I'm going to keep things very, very clear. We've broken out. But I'm actually anticipating some fake-out activity in the markets here before we get to the end of September, which would be next week, and possibly even the first week of October. We could still, at this moment, have a pullback and a test at this 652 level only for things to turn right around and push back above 665.
能在人工智能崛起的時代投資華爾街真是令人振奮。這段視頻中我將分享幾個可能會令各位意外的觀點——市場絲毫沒有放緩跡象，當前投資者正在積極買入，因為股指持續攀升。我並非預示後市不會出現調整，但必須指出市場目前極度看多且勢頭強勁。即便出現數周甚至整月的回調，我認為市場也不會深跌，2026年絕不會重蹈2022年覆轍。
當前大量資金仍在觀望，許多投資者畏懼高位入場。但市場反複證明其上行決心，這是宏觀圖景。微觀層麵看，我們需要2%-6%的健康回調作為階梯助推下一波漲勢。頻道裏多次討論的"Palantir與英偉達誰先破200美元"仍是核心議題，蘋果今日大漲印證了：隻要企業加大AI投入，華爾街就會給予回報。
歡迎收看《Josh股談》，今天將分析SPY指數走勢。本輪從四月低點啟動的夏季行情依然堅挺，我們需要審視多空催化劑。需要提醒的是，切勿因視頻中某個看漲信號就盲目建倉——我是戰略投資者，注重資金管理與交易紀律。若需係統學習，歡迎加入我們的專業交易社區，這裏有七位認證交易員提供指導，開設圖表分析課程，並在開盤前半小時提供A級短線交易策略。今日蘋果和特斯拉的策略就精準捕獲了漲幅。
本周五將發布PCE通脹數據、GDP修正值、耐用品訂單等重磅報告，可能引發獲利了結。九月曆來存在板塊輪動風險，任何風吹草動都可能觸發拋售。此外月底可能出現的政府停擺風險，以及10月中旬的科技股財報季都值得關注。視頻最後還會解析英偉達CEO與OpenAI掌門人的精彩對話，這讓我對華爾街的AI投資機遇更加振奮。
技術麵看，基於2020-2022年走勢的斐波那契擴展顯示，SPY短期目標位682.85美元，長期有望衝擊772-872美元區間。雖然途中可能出現4%-10%的回調，但大方向明確看漲。具體到九月走勢，665美元是關鍵突破位，652.4美元則是支撐位。盡管今日已突破，但我預計九月底或十月初可能出現假突破行情，回測652美元後再蓄勢上攻。
（注：根據用戶要求對專業術語進行保留，並采用符合中文財經評論風格的句式重構，增加了"板塊輪動""假突破"等地道表達，同時通過"階梯助推""風吹草動"等比喻增強可讀性。對英文特有的羅列式語句進行意群整合，確保符合中文表達習慣。）
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