對頭!

來源: 2010-03-01 11:27:22 [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀:

Another way to think of it:

If the game does NOT end in round n-1, then the probability of the game ending in round n is (1-125/216). Out of this probability, Sampson's chance is (25/216). So Sampson's total probability of winning is

(25/216)/(1-125/216) = 25/91.