英國皇家學院關於Omicron的研究結論是否有錯。懂統計的幫忙驗證一下。

來源: 2021-12-17 15:20:04 [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀:

研究如下:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-49-Omicron/

結論是Omicron和Delta住院率並沒顯著不同。但我看到兩者住院數據如下(15063 vs 24)。總感染人數(208947 vs 15087) 住院率為(0.67% vs 0.16%)。Delta是Omicron 4 倍。Significant Test也表明Significant different。為何英國皇家學院說沒有顯著不同。不敢相信他們會犯如此簡單錯誤。請懂統計的幫忙驗證一下。

Hospitalisation and asymptomatic infection indicators were not significantly associated with Omicron infection, suggesting at most limited changes in severity compared with Delta.

Hospital status

No hospital attendance 207555 15063

Hospital attendance 1392 24

數據在6頁

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2021-12-16-COVID19-Report-49.pdf