美股盤前，

來源: 於 2025-05-05 06:40:08 [博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀：次

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???? 當前盤前走勢概覽：

  • 標普500期貨（S&P 500 Futures）：下跌約0.85%，報5,662點。

  • 道瓊斯期貨（Dow Futures）：下跌約0.64%，報41,169點。

  • 納斯達克100期貨（Nasdaq 100 Futures）：下跌約1.05%，報19,992.75點。 markets.businessinsider.com

???? 市場下跌的主要原因：

  1. 新一輪關稅政策引發擔憂：美國總統特朗普宣布對海外製作的電影征收100%的關稅，盡管具體實施細節尚不明確，但此舉加劇了市場對全球貿易緊張局勢的擔憂。 Reuters+1Investopedia+1

  2. 美聯儲政策會議臨近：投資者關注即將於5月6日至7日召開的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議，盡管市場普遍預期利率將維持不變，但投資者希望從中獲取未來貨幣政策走向的線索。 Investopedia

  3. 經濟增長放緩跡象：數據顯示，美國第一季度經濟出現自2022年以來的首次收縮，主要原因是企業在關稅生效前加緊進口，導致庫存積壓和需求放緩。 Reuters

???? 技術麵觀察：

  • 支撐位：短期支撐位在5,600點附近。

  • 壓力位：上方壓力位在5,700點至5,720點區間。

  • 技術指標：若期貨價格跌破5,600點，可能引發進一步的技術性回調。

???? 投資者關注重點：

  • 美聯儲會議結果：市場將密切關注美聯儲的政策聲明和主席鮑威爾的講話，以判斷未來利率走勢。

  • 中美貿易談判進展：盡管近期有跡象顯示雙方可能重啟談判，但具體進展仍不明朗，投資者需關注相關消息。

  • 企業財報發布：本周將有多家大型企業發布財報，投資者應關注其業績對市場的影響。

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S&P 500 Premarket Update – May 6, 2025

As of 8:51 AM ET on Monday, May 5, S&P 500 futures are down approximately 0.85%, trading near 5,662, signaling potential pullback after a strong 9-day rally that marked the longest winning streak since 2004.

???? Premarket Snapshot

  • S&P 500 Futures: ▼ -0.85%, at 5,662

  • Dow Jones Futures: ▼ -0.64%, at 41,169

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: ▼ -1.05%, at 19,992.75
    ???? Source: Business Insider Markets

?? Key Drivers Behind the Decline

  1. New Tariff Concerns
    Former President Donald Trump announced a new 100% tariff on foreign-produced films, triggering fears of a renewed wave of global trade friction. While details remain vague, markets are reacting to the uncertainty.

  2. FOMC Meeting This Week
    The Federal Reserve will hold its policy meeting on May 6–7. Although no rate changes are expected, investors are on edge for clues from Chair Powell's remarks about future monetary policy direction.

  3. Signs of Slowing Growth
    Recent GDP data shows the first quarterly contraction since 2022, partly due to companies overstocking ahead of tariff deadlines, leading to inventory overhang and softening demand.

???? Technical Outlook

  • Short-term Support: 5,600

  • Resistance Levels: 5,700 – 5,720

  • Watchpoint: A break below 5,600 could trigger a deeper technical correction.

???? What to Watch This Week

  • FOMC Policy Decision & Powell’s Press Conference

  • U.S.–China Trade Negotiation Signals
    (Some easing gestures seen from both sides, but no concrete schedule yet)

  • Corporate Earnings from Large Caps

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