You can study the entire history of QQQ

Whenever it came back to test EMA200, it is very normal to have 2-3 days to fight for it.

We dont know for sure if it will hold EMA200 this time. So far we have hold for 2 days. Let's see if tomorrow gives the final signal

Once we have confirmation, the probablity to go to EM50 is 95% (in fact, it was 100% for entire QQQ history but let's be a bit conservative).

But stop loss of 433 still need to be watched