1987年的市場大崩盤總是熊派愛抄的熱門話題,
現在的熊氣衝天和三月初市場剛大跌時是何其相似. 那會就已經有人對1987 和2007 作了對比. 看看當時的對比很有意思, 轉貼如下:
1987 versus 2007I keep repeating I am not a fan of the 1987 parallel to 2007. I am not saying its impossible -- just less likely than other potential parallels (My choice is 1973, Doug Kass' is 1937). Yet many readers keep drawing my attention to the 1987 conclusion. As a service to those of you who find this compelling, here is an overlay of the chart several of you have sent in.
Dow Industrials 1986-87 - 2006-07 看上去真的很嚇人.
結果,有好事者後來又重新作了對比, 不同的是歸一成同樣的尺度:
UPDATE: April 20, 2007 6:21am
This chart (courtesy of Charles) shows the scale of the run up between the two eras to be very different . . . Dow 1987 and 2007, scaled to 100 click for larger graph 原來有這麽大差別的圖, 也可以弄的如此相似. (對比上圖) 隻要不成比例關係的放大就可以了.
所以, 不要自己嚇自己.
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